Value bet: Al Ittihad to win @ 2.90 – our chance 41% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Ittihad to win ✗41% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.50
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.51
Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad preview and prediction
The match
Ghazl El Mehalla host Al Ittihad in the Premier League on Wednesday 21 October, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Ghazl El Mahalla Stadium. Ghazl El Mehalla are 17th with 7 points from 8 games (in the bottom half), while Al Ittihad sit 5th on 14 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Ghazl El Mehalla's last 5: LDLLD Most recently they lost to Smouha SC 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Al Ittihad's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat El Gouna FC 2–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Al Ittihad arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 May 2026, finished Ghazl El Mehalla 1–0 Al Ittihad. Across their last 2 meetings Ghazl El Mehalla have won 1, Al Ittihad 1, with 0 draws and 1.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.9 for Ghazl El Mehalla and 1.0 for Al Ittihad. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ghazl El Mehalla 32%, draw 27%, Al Ittihad 41%.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Al Ittihad to win at 2.90 – 41% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Ghazl El Mehalla 0–1 Al Ittihad. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ghazl El Mehalla32%fair 3.15 · @2.90
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @2.45
Al Ittihad41%fair 2.43 · @2.90
1.92Expected goals
0.87Ghazl El Mehalla xG
1.05Al Ittihad xG
46%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–015%
1–113%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Ghazl El Mehalla 0.9 – 1.0 Al Ittihad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad?
On our numbers Ghazl El Mehalla have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Al Ittihad 41%.
How many goals will there be in Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad?
Our predicted score is Ghazl El Mehalla 0–1 Al Ittihad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad?
Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Ghazl El Mahalla Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
