Value bet: El Gouna FC to win @ 3.70 – our chance 32% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSmouha SC to win ✓40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.50
El Gouna FC vs Smouha SC preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees El Gouna FC take on Smouha SC on Monday 19 October, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at El Gouna Stadium. El Gouna FC are 20th with 3 points from 8 games (in the bottom three), while Smouha SC sit 9th on 11 points (in the top half).
Form guide
El Gouna FC's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Al Ittihad 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Smouha SC's last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat Ghazl El Mehalla 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Smouha SC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 0.7 for El Gouna FC and 0.8 for Smouha SC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 81% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: El Gouna FC 32%, draw 28%, Smouha SC 40%.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.55.
Value angle: El Gouna FC to win at 3.70 – 32% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: El Gouna FC 0–0 Smouha SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
El Gouna FC32%fair 3.13 · @3.70
Draw28%fair 3.52 · @2.60
Smouha SC40%fair 2.53 · @2.30
1.50Expected goals
0.69El Gouna FC xG
0.81Smouha SC xG
46%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–022%
0–118%
1–015%
1–112%
0–27%
2–05%
From our goals model: El Gouna FC 0.7 – 0.8 Smouha SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Smouha SC to win✓
40%
2.53
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.40
1.44
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
57%
1.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
29%
3.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.50
–
Form
El Gouna FC – last 6
LLLLLD
13 Oct
@ Al Ittihad
1–2
L
8 Oct
@ El Mokawloon
0–2
L
16 Sep
vs Petrojet
1–2
L
9 Sep
@ Pyramids FC
0–1
L
2 Sep
vs El Mokawloon
0–1
L
28 Aug
@ Olympic El Qanah
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Smouha SC – last 6
WWLLDL
12 Oct
vs Ghazl El Mehalla
1–0
W
14 Sep
@ El Geish
1–0
W
8 Sep
vs Ceramica Cleopatra
0–2
L
3 Sep
@ Al Ahly
0–1
L
26 Aug
vs Asyut Petrol
0–0
D
22 Aug
@ AL Masry
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between El Gouna FC and Smouha SC.
What is the prediction for El Gouna FC vs Smouha SC?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win El Gouna FC vs Smouha SC?
On our numbers El Gouna FC have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Smouha SC 40%.
How many goals will there be in El Gouna FC vs Smouha SC?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Gouna FC vs Smouha SC?
Our predicted score is El Gouna FC 0–0 Smouha SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is El Gouna FC vs Smouha SC?
El Gouna FC vs Smouha SC (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at El Gouna Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
