Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Al Ahly to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Ahly to win ✓58% · @1.85
Double chanceAl Ahly or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.57
Zamalek SC vs Al Ahly preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Zamalek SC take on Al Ahly on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Cairo International Stadium. Zamalek SC are 3rd with 19 points from 8 games (in the top four), while Al Ahly sit 2nd on 20 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Zamalek SC's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Masr 0–3 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Al Ahly's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Asyut Petrol 5–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 May 2026, finished Zamalek SC 0–3 Al Ahly.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.6 for Zamalek SC and 1.5 for Al Ahly. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Zamalek SC 16%, draw 26%, Al Ahly 58%.
Safer route: Al Ahly or draw (84%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Al Ahly to win at 1.85 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Al Ahly or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Zamalek SC 0–1 Al Ahly. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Zamalek SC16%fair 6.14 · @3.90
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.30
Al Ahly58%fair 1.73 · @1.85
2.10Expected goals
0.63Zamalek SC xG
1.47Al Ahly xG
50%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–118%
0–213%
0–012%
1–111%
1–28%
1–08%
From our goals model: Zamalek SC 0.6 – 1.5 Al Ahly expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Al Ahly or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Zamalek SC vs Al Ahly?
On our numbers Zamalek SC have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Al Ahly 58%.
How many goals will there be in Zamalek SC vs Al Ahly?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zamalek SC vs Al Ahly?
Our predicted score is Zamalek SC 0–1 Al Ahly, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Zamalek SC vs Al Ahly?
Zamalek SC vs Al Ahly (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Cairo International Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
