Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Ahly to win ✓67% · @1.22
Double chanceAl Ahly or draw ✓89% · @1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.07
Al Ahly vs Abu Qair Semad preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Al Ahly take on Abu Qair Semad on Tuesday 15 September, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT). Al Ahly are 2nd with 20 points from 8 games (in the top four), while Abu Qair Semad sit 19th on 4 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Al Ahly's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with El Mokawloon 1–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Abu Qair Semad's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Zamalek SC 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Al Ahly arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.7 for Al Ahly and 0.5 for Abu Qair Semad. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Ahly 67%, draw 22%, Abu Qair Semad 11%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Al Ahly to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Al Ahly 1–0 Abu Qair Semad. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Ahly67%fair 1.48 · @1.22
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @5.00
Abu Qair Semad11%fair 9.32 · @13.00
2.13Expected goals
1.66Al Ahly xG
0.47Abu Qair Semad xG
47%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–016%
0–012%
1–19%
3–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Al Ahly 1.7 – 0.5 Abu Qair Semad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Ahly to win✓
67%
1.48
1.22
Double chance
Al Ahly or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.04
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Ahly / FT Al Ahly✓
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
5.07
–
Form
Al Ahly – last 6
DWWWLW
9 Sep
@ El Mokawloon
1–1
D
3 Sep
vs Smouha SC
1–0
W
28 Aug
@ Masr
2–0
W
23 Aug
vs Enppi
3–2
W
19 Aug
@ Barcelona
1–2
L
20 May
@ AL Masry
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Abu Qair Semad – last 6
LLLWWD
8 Sep
@ Zamalek SC
0–2
L
2 Sep
vs Al Ittihad
0–2
L
27 Aug
@ Pyramids FC
0–2
L
21 Aug
vs National Bank of Egypt
1–0
W
14 May
vs Raya Ghazl
4–0
W
7 May
@ Tersana
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Ahly and Abu Qair Semad.
What is the prediction for Al Ahly vs Abu Qair Semad?
Our pick is Al Ahly to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Al Ahly vs Abu Qair Semad?
On our numbers Al Ahly have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Abu Qair Semad 11%.
How many goals will there be in Al Ahly vs Abu Qair Semad?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Ahly vs Abu Qair Semad?
Our predicted score is Al Ahly 1–0 Abu Qair Semad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Al Ahly vs Abu Qair Semad?
Al Ahly vs Abu Qair Semad (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
