Wednesday, 11 November 2026 Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Premier League · Egypt · Arab Contractors Stadium
1–1
FT

Al Ahly

WWWLW

El Mokawloon vs Al Ahly prediction & analysis

74%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultAl Ahly to win ✗68% · @1.40
Double chanceAl Ahly or draw ✓89% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.52

El Mokawloon vs Al Ahly preview and prediction

The match

Al Ahly travel to Arab Contractors Stadium in the Premier League on Wednesday 9 September (18:00 WAT) to face El Mokawloon. El Mokawloon are 7th with 11 points from 8 games (in the top half), while Al Ahly sit 2nd on 20 points (in the top four).

Form guide

El Mokawloon's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat El Gouna FC 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.

Al Ahly's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Smouha SC 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Al Ahly arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.3.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 5 March 2026, finished El Mokawloon 1–3 Al Ahly.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.6 for El Mokawloon and 1.9 for Al Ahly. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 48%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: El Mokawloon 0–1 Al Ahly. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

El Mokawloon11%fair 9.52 · @8.10
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.95
Al Ahly68%fair 1.48 · @1.40
2.52Expected goals
0.61El Mokawloon xG
1.91Al Ahly xG
48%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–115%
0–215%
1–19%
0–39%
1–29%
0–08%

From our goals model: El Mokawloon 0.6 – 1.9 Al Ahly expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAl Ahly to win ✗68%1.481.40
Double chanceAl Ahly or draw ✓89%1.121.03
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.931.57
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.411.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.871.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.351.28
Half-time resultAl Ahly ahead at half-time ✗48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Al Ahly / FT Al Ahly ✗44%2.28–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15%6.52–

Form

El Mokawloon – last 6

WLLWDD
2 Sep@ El Gouna FC1–0W
27 Augvs AL Masry2–3L
22 Aug@ El Geish0–1L
29 Mayvs Future FC3–1W
18 Mayvs Wadi Degla1–1D
13 May@ Haras El Hodood0–0D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Al Ahly – last 6

WWWLWW
3 Sepvs Smouha SC1–0W
28 Aug@ Masr2–0W
23 Augvs Enppi3–2W
19 Aug@ Barcelona1–2L
20 May@ AL Masry2–0W
5 Mayvs Enppi3–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Mar 2026El Mokawloon v Al Ahly1–3
El Mokawloon vs Al Ahly head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pyramids FC8800+1524
2Al Ahly8620+920
3Zamalek SC8611+719
4Ceramica Cleopatra8602+718
5Al Ittihad8422+314
6Future FC8413+213
7El Mokawloon8323+311
8National Bank of Egypt8323011
9Smouha SC8323011
10Masr8323-111
11Petrojet8233-29
12AL Masry8233-29
13Olympic El Qanah8152-28
14El Geish8224-68
15Wadi Degla8143-27
16Enppi8215-57
17Ghazl El Mehalla8215-77
18Asyut Petrol8134-46
19Abu Qair Semad8116-94
20El Gouna FC8035-63

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for El Mokawloon vs Al Ahly?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win El Mokawloon vs Al Ahly?

On our numbers El Mokawloon have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Al Ahly 68%.

How many goals will there be in El Mokawloon vs Al Ahly?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for El Mokawloon vs Al Ahly?

Our predicted score is El Mokawloon 0–1 Al Ahly, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is El Mokawloon vs Al Ahly?

El Mokawloon vs Al Ahly (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Arab Contractors Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.