Value bet: Abu Qair Semad to win @ 3.00 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAbu Qair Semad to win ✗38% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.82
Abu Qair Semad vs Al Ittihad preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Abu Qair Semad take on Al Ittihad on Wednesday 2 September, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Alexandria Stadium. Abu Qair Semad are 19th with 4 points from 8 games (in the bottom three), while Al Ittihad sit 5th on 14 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Abu Qair Semad's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Pyramids FC 0–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Al Ittihad's last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to Ceramica Cleopatra 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Abu Qair Semad arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.0 for Abu Qair Semad and 0.9 for Al Ittihad. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Abu Qair Semad 38%, draw 27%, Al Ittihad 35%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Abu Qair Semad to win at 3.00 – 38% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Abu Qair Semad 0–0 Al Ittihad. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Abu Qair Semad38%fair 2.64 · @3.00
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @2.75
Al Ittihad35%fair 2.85 · @2.54
1.89Expected goals
0.97Abu Qair Semad xG
0.92Al Ittihad xG
50%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–015%
1–015%
0–114%
1–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Abu Qair Semad 1.0 – 0.9 Al Ittihad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Abu Qair Semad to win✗
38%
2.64
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.11
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.82
–
Form
Abu Qair Semad – last 6
LWWDWD
27 Aug
@ Pyramids FC
0–2
L
21 Aug
vs National Bank of Egypt
1–0
W
14 May
vs Raya Ghazl
4–0
W
7 May
@ Tersana
0–0
D
30 Apr
vs La Viena FC
1–0
W
16 Apr
vs Dayrout
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Al Ittihad – last 6
LDDLWD
28 Aug
vs Ceramica Cleopatra
1–3
L
21 Aug
@ Zamalek SC
0–0
D
29 May
@ National Bank of Egypt
2–2
D
18 May
@ Ghazl El Mehalla
0–1
L
13 May
vs El Geish
1–0
W
8 May
@ Future FC
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Abu Qair Semad and Al Ittihad.
What is the prediction for Abu Qair Semad vs Al Ittihad?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Abu Qair Semad vs Al Ittihad?
On our numbers Abu Qair Semad have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Al Ittihad 35%.
How many goals will there be in Abu Qair Semad vs Al Ittihad?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Abu Qair Semad vs Al Ittihad?
Our predicted score is Abu Qair Semad 0–0 Al Ittihad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Abu Qair Semad vs Al Ittihad?
Abu Qair Semad vs Al Ittihad (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Alexandria Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
