Value bet: AL Masry to win @ 2.25 – our chance 50% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAL Masry to win ✓50% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗72% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗21% · fair 4.84
El Mokawloon vs AL Masry preview and prediction
The match
El Mokawloon host AL Masry in the Premier League on Thursday 27 August, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Arab Contractors Stadium. El Mokawloon are 7th with 11 points from 8 games (in the top half), while AL Masry sit 12th on 9 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
El Mokawloon's last 5: LWDDW Most recently they lost to El Geish 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded.
AL Masry's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Smouha SC 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
AL Masry arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 February 2026, finished El Mokawloon 1–1 AL Masry.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.6 goals: 0.6 for El Mokawloon and 1.0 for AL Masry. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 72% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: El Mokawloon 26%, draw 24%, AL Masry 50%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.62.
Value angle: AL Masry to win at 2.25 – 50% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.45, above our fair price of 1.39, so there is value in it. Predicted score: El Mokawloon 0–0 AL Masry. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
El Mokawloon26%fair 3.79 · @3.40
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @2.84
AL Masry50%fair 2.02 · @2.25
1.56Expected goals
0.58El Mokawloon xG
0.98AL Masry xG
49%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–021%
0–121%
1–012%
1–112%
0–210%
1–26%
From our goals model: El Mokawloon 0.6 – 1.0 AL Masry expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for El Mokawloon vs AL Masry?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win El Mokawloon vs AL Masry?
On our numbers El Mokawloon have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 24% and AL Masry 50%.
How many goals will there be in El Mokawloon vs AL Masry?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Mokawloon vs AL Masry?
Our predicted score is El Mokawloon 0–0 AL Masry, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is El Mokawloon vs AL Masry?
El Mokawloon vs AL Masry (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 27 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Arab Contractors Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
