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Reserve League · Argentina
Thu 12 Nov 2026

Boca Juniors Res. vs Newell's Old Boys Res. prediction & analysis

78%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.23

9/10Rating
1.23Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultBoca Juniors Res. to win59% · @1.39
Double chanceBoca Juniors Res. or draw84% · @1.02
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score52% · @1.56
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals78% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016% · fair 6.06

Boca Juniors Res. vs Newell's Old Boys Res. preview and prediction

The match

Newell's Old Boys Res. travel to face Boca Juniors Res. in the Reserve League on Thursday 12 November (23:00 WAT). Boca Juniors Res. are 5th with 31 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Newell's Old Boys Res. sit 19th on 20 points (in the bottom half).

Form guide

Boca Juniors Res.'s last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Defensa y Justicia Res. 2–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Newell's Old Boys Res.'s last 5: DDWDD Most recently they drew with Independiente Res. 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Boca Juniors Res. arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 10 June 2026, finished Newell's Old Boys Res. 3–1 Boca Juniors Res..

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.5 for Boca Juniors Res. and 0.7 for Newell's Old Boys Res.. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 58% likely.

Betting angles

Prediction

Our prediction: Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Boca Juniors Res. 1–0 Newell's Old Boys Res.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Boca Juniors Res.59%fair 1.71 · @1.39
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.78
Newell's Old Boys Res.16%fair 6.07 · @7.20
2.20Expected goals
1.49Boca Juniors Res. xG
0.71Newell's Old Boys Res. xG
48%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%

From our goals model: Boca Juniors Res. 1.5 – 0.7 Newell's Old Boys Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Footrivo team ratings

Boca Juniors Res.Newell's Old Boys Res.
Attack vs Reserve League average+10%+11%
Goals conceded vs average-48%-17%
Our expected goals here1.240.65

Our own ratings from every Reserve League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBoca Juniors Res. to win59%1.711.39
Double chanceBoca Juniors Res. or draw84%1.201.02
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score52%1.921.56
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals67%1.491.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals58%1.731.71
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals78%1.291.23
Half-time resultLevel at half-time46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Boca Juniors Res. / FT Boca Juniors Res.34%2.98–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016%6.06–

Form

Boca Juniors Res. – last 6

WWLWWL
5 Nov@ Defensa y Justicia Res.2–0W
29 Octvs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 22–0W
22 Oct@ Huracán Res.0–1L
15 Octvs Ferro 21–0W
8 Octvs Colón Res.1–0W
1 Oct@ Independiente Res.1–2L
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Newell's Old Boys Res. – last 6

DDWDDD
3 Novvs Independiente Res.2–2D
27 Oct@ Atl. Rafaela 22–2D
20 Octvs Platense Res.2–1W
13 Oct@ Quilmes 21–1D
6 Octvs Estudiantes La Plata Res1–1D
30 Sep@ Central Córdoba SdE Res.1–1D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 Jun 2026Newell's Old Boys Res. v Boca Juniors Res.3–1
Boca Juniors Res. vs Newell's Old Boys Res. head-to-head page →

Reserve League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vélez Sársfield Res.201523+2947
2Boca Juniors Res.201235+2439
3Racing Club Res.211164+739
4River Plate Res.211146+937
5Independiente Res.191135+1936
6Lanús Res.191126+1335
7Newell's Old Boys Res.191045+934
8Quilmes 2181035+833
9Defensa y Justicia Res.18954+1432
10Atlético Tucumán Res.19937-230
11Unión Santa Fe Res.18783+429
12Estudiantes La Plata Res18846+928
13Argentinos Juniors Res.18774+628
14Belgrano Córdoba Res.18837-227
15Talleres Córdoba Res.18756+626
16Huracán Res.18756+626
17Rosario Central Res.18756+326
18Platense Res.18756-326
19Deportivo Riestra Res.18747+725
20Independiente Riva. Res.18738024
21Instituto Res.18594-124
22San Lorenzo Res.18666-224
23Gimnasia La Plata Res.18657+223
24Gimnasia Mendoza 218657-323
25Banfield Res.18657-423
26Ferro 218648-322
27Central Córdoba SdE Res.18549-1219
28Colón Res.185310-818
29Aldosivi Res.185310-1118
30Barracas Central Res.18459-1317
31Sarmiento Res.184410-1016
32Tigre Res.184410-1016
33Godoy Cruz Res.184311-1015
34Atl. Rafaela 2183312-1512
35Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2182511-2311
36San Martín San Juan Res.182214-438

More Reserve League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Boca Juniors Res. vs Newell's Old Boys Res.?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.

Who will win Boca Juniors Res. vs Newell's Old Boys Res.?

On our numbers Boca Juniors Res. have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Newell's Old Boys Res. 16%.

How many goals will there be in Boca Juniors Res. vs Newell's Old Boys Res.?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Boca Juniors Res. vs Newell's Old Boys Res.?

Our predicted score is Boca Juniors Res. 1–0 Newell's Old Boys Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Boca Juniors Res. vs Newell's Old Boys Res.?

Boca Juniors Res. vs Newell's Old Boys Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.