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Reserve League · Argentina

Newell's Old Boys Res. vs Independiente Res. prediction & analysis

74%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.21 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.21Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultIndependiente Res. to win ✗38% · @2.72
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.25

Newell's Old Boys Res. vs Independiente Res. preview and prediction

The match

Newell's Old Boys Res. host Independiente Res. in the Reserve League on Tuesday 3 November, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT). Newell's Old Boys Res. are 19th with 20 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Independiente Res. sit 1st on 37 points (top of the table). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Newell's Old Boys Res.'s last 5: DWDDD Most recently they drew with Atl. Rafaela 2 2–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.

Independiente Res.'s last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Defensa y Justicia Res. 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.

Independiente Res. arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.7.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 2 June 2026, finished Independiente Res. 1–0 Newell's Old Boys Res..

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Newell's Old Boys Res. and 1.3 for Independiente Res.. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.21. Predicted score: Newell's Old Boys Res. 1–1 Independiente Res.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Newell's Old Boys Res.38%fair 2.64 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.12
Independiente Res.38%fair 2.62 · @2.72
2.59Expected goals
1.29Newell's Old Boys Res. xG
1.30Independiente Res. xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%

From our goals model: Newell's Old Boys Res. 1.3 – 1.3 Independiente Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIndependiente Res. to win ✗38%2.622.72
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.321.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.751.78
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.401.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.871.68
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74%1.351.21
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Independiente Res. / FT Independiente Res. ✗21%4.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10%10.25–

Form

Newell's Old Boys Res. – last 6

DWDDDW
27 Oct@ Atl. Rafaela 22–2D
20 Octvs Platense Res.2–1W
13 Oct@ Quilmes 21–1D
6 Octvs Estudiantes La Plata Res1–1D
30 Sep@ Central Córdoba SdE Res.1–1D
24 Sepvs Rosario Central Res.3–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Independiente Res. – last 6

WWWDWW
27 Octvs Defensa y Justicia Res.4–1W
20 Oct@ Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 22–1W
13 Octvs Huracán Res.3–0W
7 Oct@ Ferro 20–0D
1 Octvs Boca Juniors Res.2–1W
24 Sep@ Racing Club Res.2–1W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Jun 2026Independiente Res. v Newell's Old Boys Res.1–0
Newell's Old Boys Res. vs Independiente Res. head-to-head page →

Reserve League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vélez Sársfield Res.201523+2947
2Boca Juniors Res.201235+2439
3Racing Club Res.211164+739
4River Plate Res.211146+937
5Independiente Res.191135+1936
6Lanús Res.191126+1335
7Newell's Old Boys Res.191045+934
8Quilmes 2181035+833
9Defensa y Justicia Res.18954+1432
10Atlético Tucumán Res.19937-230
11Unión Santa Fe Res.18783+429
12Estudiantes La Plata Res18846+928
13Argentinos Juniors Res.18774+628
14Belgrano Córdoba Res.18837-227
15Talleres Córdoba Res.18756+626
16Huracán Res.18756+626
17Rosario Central Res.18756+326
18Platense Res.18756-326
19Deportivo Riestra Res.18747+725
20Independiente Riva. Res.18738024
21Instituto Res.18594-124
22San Lorenzo Res.18666-224
23Gimnasia La Plata Res.18657+223
24Gimnasia Mendoza 218657-323
25Banfield Res.18657-423
26Ferro 218648-322
27Central Córdoba SdE Res.18549-1219
28Colón Res.185310-818
29Aldosivi Res.185310-1118
30Barracas Central Res.18459-1317
31Sarmiento Res.184410-1016
32Tigre Res.184410-1016
33Godoy Cruz Res.184311-1015
34Atl. Rafaela 2183312-1512
35Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2182511-2311
36San Martín San Juan Res.182214-438

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Newell's Old Boys Res. vs Independiente Res.?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.

Who will win Newell's Old Boys Res. vs Independiente Res.?

On our numbers Newell's Old Boys Res. have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Independiente Res. 38%.

How many goals will there be in Newell's Old Boys Res. vs Independiente Res.?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Newell's Old Boys Res. vs Independiente Res.?

Our predicted score is Newell's Old Boys Res. 1–1 Independiente Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Newell's Old Boys Res. vs Independiente Res.?

Newell's Old Boys Res. vs Independiente Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.