Value bet: San Lorenzo Res. to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRiver Plate Res. to win ✓41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.89
San Lorenzo Res. vs River Plate Res. preview and prediction
The match
San Lorenzo Res. host River Plate Res. in the Reserve League on Wednesday 28 October, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT). San Lorenzo Res. are 17th with 21 points from 16 games (in the top half), while River Plate Res. sit 7th on 29 points (in the top half).
Form guide
San Lorenzo Res.'s last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Racing Club Res. 3–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
River Plate Res.'s last 5: DLDWD Most recently they drew with Vélez Sársfield Res. 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
San Lorenzo Res. arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 May 2026, finished River Plate Res. 1–1 San Lorenzo Res..
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for San Lorenzo Res. and 1.3 for River Plate Res.. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Lorenzo Res. 35%, draw 24%, River Plate Res. 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.73.
Value angle: San Lorenzo Res. to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: San Lorenzo Res. 1–1 River Plate Res.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Lorenzo Res.35%fair 2.88 · @3.10
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.00
River Plate Res.41%fair 2.45 · @2.15
2.43Expected goals
1.15San Lorenzo Res. xG
1.28River Plate Res. xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: San Lorenzo Res. 1.2 – 1.3 River Plate Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for San Lorenzo Res. vs River Plate Res.?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win San Lorenzo Res. vs River Plate Res.?
On our numbers San Lorenzo Res. have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and River Plate Res. 41%.
How many goals will there be in San Lorenzo Res. vs River Plate Res.?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Lorenzo Res. vs River Plate Res.?
Our predicted score is San Lorenzo Res. 1–1 River Plate Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is San Lorenzo Res. vs River Plate Res.?
San Lorenzo Res. vs River Plate Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
