Value bet: Tigre Res. to win @ 3.50 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSarmiento Res. to win ✗44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.55
Sarmiento Res. vs Tigre Res. preview and prediction
The match
Tigre Res. travel to face Sarmiento Res. in the Reserve League on Tuesday 20 October (19:00 WAT). Sarmiento Res. are 15th with 22 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Tigre Res. sit 32nd on 15 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Sarmiento Res.'s last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with San Lorenzo Res. 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Tigre Res.'s last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Argentinos Juniors Res. 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 May 2026, finished Tigre Res. 1–3 Sarmiento Res..
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Sarmiento Res. and 1.0 for Tigre Res.. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Tigre Res. to win at 3.50 – 32% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.85, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sarmiento Res. 1–1 Tigre Res.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sarmiento Res.44%fair 2.26 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @2.80
Tigre Res.32%fair 3.13 · @3.50
2.24Expected goals
1.24Sarmiento Res. xG
1.00Tigre Res. xG
54%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Sarmiento Res. 1.2 – 1.0 Tigre Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sarmiento Res. vs Tigre Res.?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Sarmiento Res. vs Tigre Res.?
On our numbers Sarmiento Res. have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tigre Res. 32%.
How many goals will there be in Sarmiento Res. vs Tigre Res.?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarmiento Res. vs Tigre Res.?
Our predicted score is Sarmiento Res. 1–1 Tigre Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Sarmiento Res. vs Tigre Res.?
Sarmiento Res. vs Tigre Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
