Estudiantes La Plata Res vs Lanús Res. prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Estudiantes La Plata Res or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.29Odds
1
Value bet: Estudiantes La Plata Res to win @ 1.95 – our chance 63% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEstudiantes La Plata Res to win ✗63% · @1.95
Double chanceEstudiantes La Plata Res or draw ✓83% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.79
Estudiantes La Plata Res vs Lanús Res. preview and prediction
The match
Estudiantes La Plata Res host Lanús Res. in the Reserve League on Wednesday 14 October, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT). Estudiantes La Plata Res are 6th with 29 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Lanús Res. sit 2nd on 36 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Estudiantes La Plata Res's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Newell's Old Boys Res. 1–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Lanús Res.'s last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Central Córdoba SdE Res. 3–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 May 2026, finished Lanús Res. 1–4 Estudiantes La Plata Res.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Estudiantes La Plata Res and 0.9 for Lanús Res.. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Estudiantes La Plata Res 63%, draw 20%, Lanús Res. 17%.
Safer route: Estudiantes La Plata Res or draw (83%) at 1.29.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Estudiantes La Plata Res to win at 1.95 – 63% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Estudiantes La Plata Res or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.29, above our fair price of 1.20, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Estudiantes La Plata Res 1–0 Lanús Res.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Estudiantes La Plata Res63%fair 1.59 · @1.95
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @3.20
Lanús Res.17%fair 6.05 · @3.25
2.85Expected goals
1.97Estudiantes La Plata Res xG
0.88Lanús Res. xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Estudiantes La Plata Res 2.0 – 0.9 Lanús Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estudiantes La Plata Res to win✗
63%
1.59
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Estudiantes La Plata Res or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.29 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Estudiantes La Plata Res ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Estudiantes La Plata Res / FT Estudiantes La Plata Res✗
What is the prediction for Estudiantes La Plata Res vs Lanús Res.?
Our pick is Estudiantes La Plata Res or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Estudiantes La Plata Res vs Lanús Res.?
On our numbers Estudiantes La Plata Res have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Lanús Res. 17%.
How many goals will there be in Estudiantes La Plata Res vs Lanús Res.?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estudiantes La Plata Res vs Lanús Res.?
Our predicted score is Estudiantes La Plata Res 1–0 Lanús Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Estudiantes La Plata Res vs Lanús Res.?
Estudiantes La Plata Res vs Lanús Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
