Tigre Res. vs Gimnasia La Plata Res. preview and prediction
The match
Tigre Res. host Gimnasia La Plata Res. in the Reserve League on Tuesday 29 September, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT). Tigre Res. are 32nd with 15 points from 17 games (in the bottom half), while Gimnasia La Plata Res. sit 27th on 17 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Tigre Res.'s last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Defensa y Justicia Res. 1–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Gimnasia La Plata Res.'s last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Estudiantes La Plata Res 2–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gimnasia La Plata Res. arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 April 2026, finished Gimnasia La Plata Res. 1–2 Tigre Res..
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.0 for Tigre Res. and 1.2 for Gimnasia La Plata Res.. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.81, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Tigre Res. 1–1 Gimnasia La Plata Res.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tigre Res.32%fair 3.12 · @3.25
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @2.75
Gimnasia La Plata Res.44%fair 2.28 · @2.20
2.16Expected goals
0.96Tigre Res. xG
1.20Gimnasia La Plata Res. xG
55%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Tigre Res. 1.0 – 1.2 Gimnasia La Plata Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gimnasia La Plata Res. to win✗
44%
2.28
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gimnasia La Plata Res. / FT Gimnasia La Plata Res.✗
What is the prediction for Tigre Res. vs Gimnasia La Plata Res.?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Tigre Res. vs Gimnasia La Plata Res.?
On our numbers Tigre Res. have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gimnasia La Plata Res. 44%.
How many goals will there be in Tigre Res. vs Gimnasia La Plata Res.?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tigre Res. vs Gimnasia La Plata Res.?
Our predicted score is Tigre Res. 1–1 Gimnasia La Plata Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Tigre Res. vs Gimnasia La Plata Res.?
Tigre Res. vs Gimnasia La Plata Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.