Double chanceVélez Sársfield Res. or draw ✓92% · @1.02
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.47
Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Ferro 2 preview and prediction
The match
The Reserve League sees Vélez Sársfield Res. take on Ferro 2 on Tuesday 22 September, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT). Vélez Sársfield Res. are 4th with 30 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Ferro 2 sit 36th on 8 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Vélez Sársfield Res.'s last 5: WDDWD Most recently they beat Aldosivi Res. 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ferro 2's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Platense Res. 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Vélez Sársfield Res. arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 April 2026, finished Ferro 2 1–2 Vélez Sársfield Res..
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.9 for Vélez Sársfield Res. and 0.4 for Ferro 2. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 43%.
Our pre-match pick was Vélez Sársfield Res. to win – a 73% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Vélez Sársfield Res. 1–0 Ferro 2. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vélez Sársfield Res.73%fair 1.36 · @1.22
Draw18%fair 5.55 · @4.60
Ferro 28%fair 11.77 · @15.00
2.34Expected goals
1.90Vélez Sársfield Res. xG
0.44Ferro 2 xG
43%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–017%
3–011%
0–010%
1–18%
2–18%
From our goals model: Vélez Sársfield Res. 1.9 – 0.4 Ferro 2 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vélez Sársfield Res. to win✓
73%
1.36
1.22
Double chance
Vélez Sársfield Res. or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.02
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.71
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Vélez Sársfield Res. ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vélez Sársfield Res. / FT Vélez Sársfield Res.✓
What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Ferro 2?
Our pick is Vélez Sársfield Res. to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Ferro 2?
On our numbers Vélez Sársfield Res. have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Ferro 2 8%.
How many goals will there be in Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Ferro 2?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Ferro 2?
Our predicted score is Vélez Sársfield Res. 1–0 Ferro 2, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Ferro 2?
Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Ferro 2 (Reserve League) kicks off on Tuesday 22 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
