Value bet: Gimnasia Mendoza 2 to win @ 2.75 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGimnasia Mendoza 2 to win ✓40% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓12% · fair 8.64
Independiente Riva. Res. vs Gimnasia Mendoza 2 preview and prediction
The match
Gimnasia Mendoza 2 travel to face Independiente Riva. Res. in the Reserve League on Thursday 24 September (23:00 WAT). Independiente Riva. Res. are 19th with 21 points from 17 games (in the bottom half), while Gimnasia Mendoza 2 sit 9th on 29 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Independiente Riva. Res.'s last 5: DWLDL Most recently they drew with Lanús Res. 3–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Gimnasia Mendoza 2's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Talleres Córdoba Res. 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Gimnasia Mendoza 2 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 April 2026, finished Gimnasia Mendoza 2 0–1 Independiente Riva. Res..
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Independiente Riva. Res. and 1.3 for Gimnasia Mendoza 2. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Gimnasia Mendoza 2 to win at 2.75 – 40% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Independiente Riva. Res. 1–1 Gimnasia Mendoza 2. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Independiente Riva. Res.34%fair 2.96 · @2.45
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @2.80
Gimnasia Mendoza 240%fair 2.48 · @2.75
2.39Expected goals
1.13Independiente Riva. Res. xG
1.26Gimnasia Mendoza 2 xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Independiente Riva. Res. 1.1 – 1.3 Gimnasia Mendoza 2 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Independiente Riva. Res. vs Gimnasia Mendoza 2?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Independiente Riva. Res. vs Gimnasia Mendoza 2?
On our numbers Independiente Riva. Res. have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Gimnasia Mendoza 2 40%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente Riva. Res. vs Gimnasia Mendoza 2?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independiente Riva. Res. vs Gimnasia Mendoza 2?
Our predicted score is Independiente Riva. Res. 1–1 Gimnasia Mendoza 2, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Independiente Riva. Res. vs Gimnasia Mendoza 2?
Independiente Riva. Res. vs Gimnasia Mendoza 2 (Reserve League) kicks off on Thursday 24 September 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
