Defensa y Justicia Res. vs Independiente Riva. Res. prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Defensa y Justicia Res. or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Defensa y Justicia Res. to win @ 1.95 – our chance 62% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDefensa y Justicia Res. to win ✓62% · @1.95
Double chanceDefensa y Justicia Res. or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Defensa y Justicia Res. vs Independiente Riva. Res. preview and prediction
The match
Defensa y Justicia Res. host Independiente Riva. Res. in the Reserve League on Thursday 3 September, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT). Defensa y Justicia Res. are 23rd with 19 points from 17 games (in the bottom half), while Independiente Riva. Res. sit 19th on 21 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Defensa y Justicia Res.'s last 5: DDLDL Most recently they drew with Deportivo Riestra Res. 3–3 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Independiente Riva. Res.'s last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 31 March 2026, finished Independiente Riva. Res. 2–3 Defensa y Justicia Res..
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Defensa y Justicia Res. and 0.9 for Independiente Riva. Res.. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Defensa y Justicia Res. 62%, draw 22%, Independiente Riva. Res. 16%.
Safer route: Defensa y Justicia Res. or draw (84%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Defensa y Justicia Res. to win at 1.95 – 62% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Defensa y Justicia Res. or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Defensa y Justicia Res. 2–0 Independiente Riva. Res.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Defensa y Justicia Res.62%fair 1.60 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.00
Independiente Riva. Res.16%fair 6.33 · @3.50
2.94Expected goals
2.02Defensa y Justicia Res. xG
0.92Independiente Riva. Res. xG
56%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Defensa y Justicia Res. 2.0 – 0.9 Independiente Riva. Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Defensa y Justicia Res. to win✓
62%
1.60
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Defensa y Justicia Res. or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Defensa y Justicia Res. ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Defensa y Justicia Res. / FT Defensa y Justicia Res.✗
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.08
–
Form
Defensa y Justicia Res. – last 6
DDLDLD
27 Aug
@ Deportivo Riestra Res.
3–3
D
20 Aug
vs Belgrano Córdoba Res.
1–1
D
12 Aug
@ Lanús Res.
1–3
L
5 Aug
vs Newell's Old Boys Res.
1–1
D
13 Jul
@ Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2
0–1
L
18 Jun
@ Huracán Res.
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Independiente Riva. Res. – last 6
DLWLLL
27 Aug
vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2
1–1
D
19 Aug
@ Huracán Res.
0–2
L
13 Aug
vs Ferro 2
2–1
W
4 Aug
@ Boca Juniors Res.
0–1
L
23 Jul
vs Independiente Res.
1–2
L
16 Jul
@ Atl. Rafaela 2
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
31 Mar 2026
Independiente Riva. Res. v Defensa y Justicia Res.
What is the prediction for Defensa y Justicia Res. vs Independiente Riva. Res.?
Our pick is Defensa y Justicia Res. or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Defensa y Justicia Res. vs Independiente Riva. Res.?
On our numbers Defensa y Justicia Res. have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Independiente Riva. Res. 16%.
How many goals will there be in Defensa y Justicia Res. vs Independiente Riva. Res.?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Defensa y Justicia Res. vs Independiente Riva. Res.?
Our predicted score is Defensa y Justicia Res. 2–0 Independiente Riva. Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Defensa y Justicia Res. vs Independiente Riva. Res.?
Defensa y Justicia Res. vs Independiente Riva. Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
