Value bet: San Lorenzo Res. to win @ 2.50 – our chance 45% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Lorenzo Res. to win ✗45% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.98
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.93
Atlético Tucumán Res. vs San Lorenzo Res. preview and prediction
The match
San Lorenzo Res. travel to face Atlético Tucumán Res. in the Reserve League on Wednesday 2 September (19:00 WAT). Atlético Tucumán Res. are 24th with 19 points from 17 games (in the bottom half), while San Lorenzo Res. sit 18th on 21 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Atlético Tucumán Res.'s last 5: LLDDL Most recently they lost to Vélez Sársfield Res. 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
San Lorenzo Res.'s last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Godoy Cruz Res. 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
San Lorenzo Res. arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 April 2026, finished San Lorenzo Res. 0–2 Atlético Tucumán Res..
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Atlético Tucumán Res. and 1.4 for San Lorenzo Res.. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atlético Tucumán Res. 33%, draw 22%, San Lorenzo Res. 45%.
Value angle: San Lorenzo Res. to win at 2.50 – 45% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 53% chance at odds of 1.80. Predicted score: Atlético Tucumán Res. 1–1 San Lorenzo Res.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlético Tucumán Res.33%fair 3.04 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.20
San Lorenzo Res.45%fair 2.21 · @2.50
2.52Expected goals
1.13Atlético Tucumán Res. xG
1.39San Lorenzo Res. xG
49%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Atlético Tucumán Res. 1.1 – 1.4 San Lorenzo Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Atlético Tucumán Res. vs San Lorenzo Res.?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Atlético Tucumán Res. vs San Lorenzo Res.?
On our numbers Atlético Tucumán Res. have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and San Lorenzo Res. 45%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Tucumán Res. vs San Lorenzo Res.?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Tucumán Res. vs San Lorenzo Res.?
Our predicted score is Atlético Tucumán Res. 1–1 San Lorenzo Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Atlético Tucumán Res. vs San Lorenzo Res.?
Atlético Tucumán Res. vs San Lorenzo Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
