Value bet: USM Alger to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultUSM Alger to win ✓38% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.74
Olympique Akbou vs USM Alger preview and prediction
The match
The Ligue 1 sees Olympique Akbou take on USM Alger on Saturday 19 September, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Stade des Martyrs. Olympique Akbou are 7th with 12 points from 8 games (in the top half), while USM Alger sit 6th on 14 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Olympique Akbou's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to MB Rouisset 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
USM Alger's last 5: WDDDD Most recently they beat JS El Biar 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
USM Alger arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 May 2026, finished USM Alger 1–0 Olympique Akbou.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 0.7 for Olympique Akbou and 0.8 for USM Alger. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 81% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: USM Alger to win at 2.90 – 38% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Olympique Akbou 0–0 USM Alger. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Olympique Akbou34%fair 2.90 · @2.60
Draw27%fair 3.64 · @2.62
USM Alger38%fair 2.63 · @2.90
1.50Expected goals
0.72Olympique Akbou xG
0.78USM Alger xG
46%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–022%
0–117%
1–016%
1–113%
0–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Olympique Akbou 0.7 – 0.8 USM Alger expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Olympique Akbou vs USM Alger?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Olympique Akbou vs USM Alger?
On our numbers Olympique Akbou have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and USM Alger 38%.
How many goals will there be in Olympique Akbou vs USM Alger?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olympique Akbou vs USM Alger?
Our predicted score is Olympique Akbou 0–0 USM Alger, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Olympique Akbou vs USM Alger?
Olympique Akbou vs USM Alger (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade des Martyrs.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
