The Premier League sees Muharraq take on Al Ahli on Friday 28 August, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT). Muharraq are 4th with 11 points from 7 games (in the top four), while Al Ahli sit 5th on 9 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Muharraq's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Khalidiya 2–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Al Ahli's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Al-Hidd 0–1 at home. They average 1.4 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Muharraq arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Muharraq and 0.8 for Al Ahli. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Muharraq 62%, draw 24%, Al Ahli 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.90.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Muharraq 2–0 Al Ahli. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Muharraq62%fair 1.61 · @1.45
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.90
Al Ahli14%fair 7.11 · @6.40
2.75Expected goals
1.93Muharraq xG
0.82Al Ahli xG
56%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–06%
From our goals model: Muharraq 1.9 – 0.8 Al Ahli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Muharraq to win✗
62%
1.61
1.45
Double chance
Muharraq or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.90 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.35
Half-time result
Muharraq ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Muharraq / FT Muharraq✗
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.08
–
Form
Muharraq – last 6
WWWWWW
11 May
@ Khalidiya
2–1
W
4 May
@ Al Najma
3–1
W
29 Apr
vs Budaiya
1–0
W
24 Apr
vs Al Riffa
2–1
W
16 Apr
@ Al-Hidd
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs Sitra
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Al Ahli – last 5
LWLWW
11 May
vs Al-Hidd
0–1
L
5 May
@ Sitra
2–0
W
29 Apr
vs Al Riffa
2–3
L
17 Apr
@ Bahrain SC
2–1
W
20 Feb
vs Al Najma
1–0
W
1.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Muharraq and Al Ahli.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Muharraq vs Al Ahli?
On our numbers Muharraq have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Al Ahli 14%.
How many goals will there be in Muharraq vs Al Ahli?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Muharraq vs Al Ahli?
Our predicted score is Muharraq 2–0 Al Ahli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Muharraq vs Al Ahli?
Muharraq vs Al Ahli (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
