Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Probiy Horodenka prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Lokomotiv Kyiv or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.36Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.50 – our chance 53% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +86%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✗53% · @3.50
Double chanceLokomotiv Kyiv or draw ✗81% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗11% · fair 8.80
Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Probiy Horodenka preview and prediction
The match
The Cup sees Lokomotiv Kyiv take on Probiy Horodenka on Friday 21 August, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Lokomotiv Kyiv's last 5: DLDDD Most recently they drew with Ahrobiznes Volochysk 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Probiy Horodenka's last 5: LDLDL Most recently they lost to Prykarpattia 0–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.6 for Lokomotiv Kyiv and 1.4 for Probiy Horodenka. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 53%.
Safer route: Lokomotiv Kyiv or draw (81%) at 1.36.
Value angle: Draw at 3.50 – 53% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Lokomotiv Kyiv or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.36, above our fair price of 1.23, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Lokomotiv Kyiv 1–1 Probiy Horodenka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lokomotiv Kyiv28%fair 3.53 · @2.00
Draw53%fair 1.88 · @3.50
Probiy Horodenka19%fair 5.41 · @3.10
2.94Expected goals
1.58Lokomotiv Kyiv xG
1.36Probiy Horodenka xG
53%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv Kyiv 1.6 – 1.4 Probiy Horodenka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
53%
1.88
3.50 ▲
Double chance
Lokomotiv Kyiv or draw✗
81%
1.23
1.36 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lokomotiv Kyiv / FT Lokomotiv Kyiv✗
25%
3.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
11%
8.80
–
Form
Lokomotiv Kyiv – last 6
DLDDDW
14 Aug
@ Ahrobiznes Volochysk
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka
0–1
L
2 Aug
@ Prykarpattia
2–2
D
25 Jul
vs Chernihiv
1–1
D
7 Jul
@ Obolon'-Brovar
0–0
D
22 May
@ Penuel
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Probiy Horodenka – last 6
LDLDLW
14 Aug
@ Prykarpattia
0–3
L
9 Aug
vs Chernihiv
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Metal Kharkiv
1–3
L
26 Jul
vs Inhulets
2–2
D
1 Jun
vs Prykarpattia
0–3
L
23 May
@ Viktoriya Mykolaivka
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lokomotiv Kyiv and Probiy Horodenka.
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Probiy Horodenka?
Our pick is Lokomotiv Kyiv or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Probiy Horodenka?
On our numbers Lokomotiv Kyiv have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 53% and Probiy Horodenka 19%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Probiy Horodenka?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Probiy Horodenka?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv Kyiv 1–1 Probiy Horodenka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Probiy Horodenka?
Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Probiy Horodenka (Cup) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
