Once Caldas vs Alianza Valledupar preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Colombia sees Once Caldas take on Alianza Valledupar on Thursday 10 September, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Palogrande.
Form guide
Once Caldas's last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to Chico 0–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Alianza Valledupar's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to America de Cali 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Once Caldas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Once Caldas and 0.7 for Alianza Valledupar. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Once Caldas 64%, draw 23%, Alianza Valledupar 13%.
Safer route: Once Caldas or draw (87%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.05.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Once Caldas 1–0 Alianza Valledupar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Once Caldas64%fair 1.56 · @1.59
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.80
Alianza Valledupar13%fair 7.65 · @5.70
2.48Expected goals
1.80Once Caldas xG
0.68Alianza Valledupar xG
50%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Once Caldas 1.8 – 0.7 Alianza Valledupar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Once Caldas to win✓
64%
1.56
1.59
Double chance
Once Caldas or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
2.05
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Once Caldas ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Once Caldas / FT Once Caldas✓
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
15%
6.64
–
Form
Once Caldas – last 6
LWDDLD
5 Sep
@ Chico
0–2
L
2 Sep
@ Fortaleza FC
2–1
W
24 Aug
@ Junior
1–1
D
10 Aug
@ Jaguares
1–1
D
6 Aug
vs America de Cali
0–1
L
3 Aug
@ Santa Fe
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Alianza Valledupar – last 6
LLLDLL
3 Sep
@ America de Cali
0–3
L
30 Aug
vs Atletico Nacional
1–5
L
26 Aug
@ Cucuta
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Deportivo Pereira
0–0
D
9 Aug
vs Bucaramanga
2–3
L
1 Aug
vs Deportes Tolima
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Once Caldas and Alianza Valledupar.
What is the prediction for Once Caldas vs Alianza Valledupar?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Once Caldas vs Alianza Valledupar?
On our numbers Once Caldas have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Alianza Valledupar 13%.
How many goals will there be in Once Caldas vs Alianza Valledupar?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Once Caldas vs Alianza Valledupar?
Our predicted score is Once Caldas 1–0 Alianza Valledupar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Once Caldas vs Alianza Valledupar?
Once Caldas vs Alianza Valledupar (Copa Colombia) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Palogrande.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
