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Division Profesional Clausura · Paraguay · Estadio Luis Alberto Salinas Tanasio

Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad Asuncion prediction & analysis

73%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.36Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultLibertad Asuncion to win ✓51% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.96

Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad Asuncion preview and prediction

The match

Libertad Asuncion travel to Estadio Luis Alberto Salinas Tanasio in the Division Profesional Clausura on Sunday 16 August (20:00 WAT) to face Sportivo Luqueno. Sportivo Luqueno are 8th with 22 points from 19 games (in the bottom half), while Libertad Asuncion sit 3rd on 33 points (in the top four).

Form guide

Sportivo Luqueno's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat Club Sp. San Lorenzo 2–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Libertad Asuncion's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Sportivo Trinidense 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 11 May 2026, finished Sportivo Luqueno 2–3 Libertad Asuncion. Across their last 2 meetings Sportivo Luqueno have won 0, Libertad Asuncion 2, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.1 for Sportivo Luqueno and 1.7 for Libertad Asuncion. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Sportivo Luqueno 1–1 Libertad Asuncion. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Sportivo Luqueno27%fair 3.72 · @3.65
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.25
Libertad Asuncion51%fair 1.95 · @1.97
2.82Expected goals
1.14Sportivo Luqueno xG
1.68Libertad Asuncion xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–28%
1–07%
2–16%

From our goals model: Sportivo Luqueno 1.1 – 1.7 Libertad Asuncion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLibertad Asuncion to win ✓51%1.951.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.721.80
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.371.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%1.991.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.401.25
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.46–
Half-time / full-timeHT Libertad Asuncion / FT Libertad Asuncion ✗30%3.29–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10%9.96–

Form

Sportivo Luqueno – last 6

WLLWDL
9 Aug@ Club Sp. San Lorenzo2–0W
1 Aug@ Cerro Porteno0–3L
29 Julvs Sportivo Trinidense1–4L
26 Jul@ Club Guarani2–1W
17 May@ Club Sp. San Lorenzo0–0D
11 Mayvs Libertad Asuncion2–3L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Libertad Asuncion – last 6

WLWWLL
10 Augvs Sportivo Trinidense2–1W
2 Aug@ Club Guarani1–2L
30 Julvs Deportivo Recoleta4–1W
26 Jul@ Olimpia1–0W
27 Mayvs UCV0–1L
24 May@ Nacional Asuncion1–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 May 2026Sportivo Luqueno v Libertad Asuncion2–3
8 Mar 2026Libertad Asuncion v Sportivo Luqueno1–0
Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad Asuncion head-to-head page →

Division Profesional Clausura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia191333+2342
2Sportivo Trinidense191045+1334
3Libertad Asuncion191036+833
4Nacional Asuncion19955+1232
5Club Guarani19874+431
62 de Mayo19865-330
7Cerro Porteno19847+528
8Sportivo Luqueno197111-822
9Sportivo Ameliano19478-919
10Rubio NU194510-1517
11Deportivo Recoleta194411-1216
12Club Sp. San Lorenzo192512-1811

More Division Profesional Clausura predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad Asuncion?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad Asuncion?

On our numbers Sportivo Luqueno have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Libertad Asuncion 51%.

How many goals will there be in Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad Asuncion?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad Asuncion?

Our predicted score is Sportivo Luqueno 1–1 Libertad Asuncion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad Asuncion?

Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad Asuncion (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Luis Alberto Salinas Tanasio.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.