Value bet: Club Guarani to win @ 3.30 – our chance 32% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNacional Asuncion to win ✗46% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.70
Nacional Asuncion vs Club Guarani preview and prediction
The match
Club Guarani travel to Estadio Arsenio Erico in the Division Profesional Clausura on Sunday 9 August (22:30 WAT) to face Nacional Asuncion. Nacional Asuncion are 4th with 32 points from 19 games (in the top four), while Club Guarani sit 5th on 31 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Nacional Asuncion's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Deportivo Recoleta 2–3 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Club Guarani's last 5: WWLDL Most recently they beat Libertad Asuncion 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Nacional Asuncion arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 May 2026, finished Club Guarani 0–1 Nacional Asuncion.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Nacional Asuncion and 1.1 for Club Guarani. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nacional Asuncion 46%, draw 22%, Club Guarani 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Club Guarani to win at 3.30 – 32% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Nacional Asuncion 1–1 Club Guarani. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nacional Asuncion46%fair 2.20 · @2.12
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.15
Club Guarani32%fair 3.10 · @3.30
2.49Expected goals
1.38Nacional Asuncion xG
1.10Club Guarani xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Nacional Asuncion 1.4 – 1.1 Club Guarani expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nacional Asuncion vs Club Guarani?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Nacional Asuncion vs Club Guarani?
On our numbers Nacional Asuncion have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Club Guarani 32%.
How many goals will there be in Nacional Asuncion vs Club Guarani?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nacional Asuncion vs Club Guarani?
Our predicted score is Nacional Asuncion 1–1 Club Guarani, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Nacional Asuncion vs Club Guarani?
Nacional Asuncion vs Club Guarani (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arsenio Erico.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
