Value bet: Deportivo Recoleta to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRubio NU to win ✗39% · @2.16
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.80
Rubio NU vs Deportivo Recoleta preview and prediction
The match
Deportivo Recoleta travel to Estadio La Arboleda in the Division Profesional Clausura on Friday 7 August (22:30 WAT) to face Rubio NU. Rubio NU are 10th with 17 points from 19 games (in the bottom three), while Deportivo Recoleta sit 11th on 16 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Rubio NU's last 5: LDLLD Most recently they lost to Olimpia 0–5 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Deportivo Recoleta's last 5: WLDWD Most recently they beat Nacional Asuncion 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 March 2026, finished Deportivo Recoleta 1–0 Rubio NU.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Rubio NU and 1.5 for Deportivo Recoleta. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rubio NU 39%, draw 24%, Deportivo Recoleta 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Deportivo Recoleta to win at 3.10 – 37% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Rubio NU 1–1 Deportivo Recoleta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rubio NU39%fair 2.59 · @2.16
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.25
Deportivo Recoleta37%fair 2.67 · @3.10
2.96Expected goals
1.49Rubio NU xG
1.47Deportivo Recoleta xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–18%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: Rubio NU 1.5 – 1.5 Deportivo Recoleta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Rubio NU vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Rubio NU vs Deportivo Recoleta?
On our numbers Rubio NU have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Deportivo Recoleta 37%.
How many goals will there be in Rubio NU vs Deportivo Recoleta?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rubio NU vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Our predicted score is Rubio NU 1–1 Deportivo Recoleta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Rubio NU vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Rubio NU vs Deportivo Recoleta (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Arboleda.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
