Svay Rieng vs National Defense prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSvay Rieng to win ✓79% · @1.05
Double chanceSvay Rieng or draw ✓93% · fair 1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.76
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 12.60
Svay Rieng vs National Defense preview and prediction
The match
Svay Rieng host National Defense in the C League on Saturday 12 September, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Svay Rieng Stadium. Svay Rieng are 2nd with 14 points from 6 games (in the top four), while National Defense sit 11th on 0 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Svay Rieng's last 5: WDLDL Most recently they beat Kirivong Sok Sen Chey 3–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
National Defense's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Visakha 1–6 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 3.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.6 goals: 3.4 for Svay Rieng and 1.1 for National Defense. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 81% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Svay Rieng 79%, draw 13%, National Defense 7%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Svay Rieng 3–1 National Defense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Svay Rieng79%fair 1.26 · @1.05
Draw13%fair 7.53 · @13.00
National Defense7%fair 13.46 · @29.00
4.57Expected goals
3.44Svay Rieng xG
1.14National Defense xG
57%Both score
81%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–18%
3–07%
2–17%
4–17%
2–06%
4–06%
From our goals model: Svay Rieng 3.4 – 1.1 National Defense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Svay Rieng to win✓
79%
1.26
1.05
Double chance
Svay Rieng or draw✓
93%
1.08
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Svay Rieng ahead at half-time✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Svay Rieng / FT Svay Rieng✓
58%
1.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
8%
12.60
–
Form
Svay Rieng – last 6
WDLDLL
6 Sep
@ Kirivong Sok Sen Chey
3–0
W
20 May
vs Boeung Ket
1–1
D
17 May
vs Phnom Penh Crown
1–2
L
13 May
@ Al Kuwait
2–2
D
7 May
vs Boeung Ket
2–3
L
3 May
@ Angkor Tiger
3–4
L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
National Defense – last 6
LLLWLD
6 Sep
vs Visakha
1–6
L
9 May
@ Visakha
0–4
L
2 May
vs Life Sihanoukville
0–4
L
11 Apr
vs Kirivong Sok Sen Chey
3–1
W
5 Apr
vs Visakha
1–3
L
21 Mar
vs Dangkor Senchey
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Svay Rieng and National Defense.
What is the prediction for Svay Rieng vs National Defense?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Svay Rieng vs National Defense?
On our numbers Svay Rieng have a 79% chance of winning, the draw 13% and National Defense 7%.
How many goals will there be in Svay Rieng vs National Defense?
We expect about 4.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 81% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Svay Rieng vs National Defense?
Our predicted score is Svay Rieng 3–1 National Defense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.6 goals in total.
When is Svay Rieng vs National Defense?
Svay Rieng vs National Defense (C League) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Svay Rieng Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
