CSM Satu Mare vs Metalul Buzău prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Metalul Buzău or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMetalul Buzău to win ✗57% · @1.80
Double chanceMetalul Buzău or draw ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗20% · fair 5.12
CSM Satu Mare vs Metalul Buzău preview and prediction
The match
The Liga II sees CSM Satu Mare take on Metalul Buzău on Saturday 17 October, kicking off at 09:00 (WAT) at Daniel Prodan Stadium. CSM Satu Mare are 18th with 9 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Metalul Buzău sit 8th on 21 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
CSM Satu Mare's last 5: DLDDL Most recently they drew with CS Dinamo București 2–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Metalul Buzău's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat ASA Targu Mures 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Metalul Buzău arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.6 for CSM Satu Mare and 1.3 for Metalul Buzău. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: CSM Satu Mare 21%, draw 22%, Metalul Buzău 57%.
Safer route: Metalul Buzău or draw (79%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Metalul Buzău or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: CSM Satu Mare 0–1 Metalul Buzău. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CSM Satu Mare21%fair 4.80 · @4.00
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.10
Metalul Buzău57%fair 1.75 · @1.80
1.89Expected goals
0.60CSM Satu Mare xG
1.29Metalul Buzău xG
52%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–120%
0–015%
0–213%
1–112%
1–09%
1–28%
From our goals model: CSM Satu Mare 0.6 – 1.3 Metalul Buzău expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Metalul Buzău to win✗
57%
1.75
1.80
Double chance
Metalul Buzău or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.77
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Metalul Buzău / FT Metalul Buzău✗
31%
3.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
20%
5.12
–
Form
CSM Satu Mare – last 6
DLDDLD
10 Oct
@ CS Dinamo București
2–2
D
19 Sep
vs CS Afumati
0–2
L
12 Sep
@ Metaloglobus
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs FC Politehnica Timisoara
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Gloria Bistriţa
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Bihor Oradea
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Metalul Buzău – last 6
WWWDLL
10 Oct
vs ASA Targu Mures
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ Concordia
1–0
W
13 Sep
vs Unirea Slobozia
2–0
W
5 Sep
@ Viitorul Şelimbăr
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Chindia Targoviste
1–3
L
22 Aug
@ Slatina
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CSM Satu Mare and Metalul Buzău.
What is the prediction for CSM Satu Mare vs Metalul Buzău?
Our pick is Metalul Buzău or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win CSM Satu Mare vs Metalul Buzău?
On our numbers CSM Satu Mare have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Metalul Buzău 57%.
How many goals will there be in CSM Satu Mare vs Metalul Buzău?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CSM Satu Mare vs Metalul Buzău?
Our predicted score is CSM Satu Mare 0–1 Metalul Buzău, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is CSM Satu Mare vs Metalul Buzău?
CSM Satu Mare vs Metalul Buzău (Liga II) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at Daniel Prodan Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
