Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓62% · fair 1.61
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.94
Atletico Avila FC vs Aragua FC preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División sees Atletico Avila FC take on Aragua FC on Sunday 9 August, kicking off at 20:30 (WAT). Atletico Avila FC are 8th with 14 points from 26 games (in the bottom three), while Aragua FC sit 2nd on 43 points (in the top four). A gap of 29 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Atletico Avila FC's last 5: LLDDL Most recently they lost to Petare FC 0–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Aragua FC's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Bolívar 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Aragua FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.4 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.8 for Atletico Avila FC and 1.0 for Aragua FC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atletico Avila FC 32%, draw 23%, Aragua FC 45%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Atletico Avila FC 0–1 Aragua FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico Avila FC32%fair 3.10 · @2.88
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.00
Aragua FC45%fair 2.21 · @2.30
1.80Expected goals
0.78Atletico Avila FC xG
1.02Aragua FC xG
38%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–017%
1–113%
1–013%
0–29%
1–27%
From our goals model: Atletico Avila FC 0.8 – 1.0 Aragua FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aragua FC to win✗
45%
2.21
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
24%
4.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.94
–
Form
Atletico Avila FC – last 6
LLDDLD
2 Aug
vs Petare FC
0–1
L
24 Jun
@ Academia Anzoátegui
1–3
L
7 Jun
vs Mineros de Guyana
1–1
D
31 May
vs Bolívar
0–0
D
22 May
@ Monagas II
0–2
L
17 May
vs Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Aragua FC – last 5
WLDLW
1 Aug
vs Bolívar
1–0
W
26 Jul
@ Petare FC
1–2
L
24 Jun
@ Caracas FC
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs Monagas II
1–2
L
31 May
@ Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Avila FC and Aragua FC.
What is the prediction for Atletico Avila FC vs Aragua FC?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Atletico Avila FC vs Aragua FC?
On our numbers Atletico Avila FC have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Aragua FC 45%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Avila FC vs Aragua FC?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Avila FC vs Aragua FC?
Our predicted score is Atletico Avila FC 0–1 Aragua FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Atletico Avila FC vs Aragua FC?
Atletico Avila FC vs Aragua FC (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Club Atletico Barinas2
Zamora FC B3
Urena SC1
Fundación Lara Deportiva1
Atletico el Vigia FC0
Puerto Cabello II0