Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 11.05
Thalwil vs Freienbach preview and prediction
The match
The 1. Liga Classic Group 3 sees Thalwil take on Freienbach on Sunday 23 August, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT). Thalwil are 7th with 19 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Freienbach sit 9th on 16 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Thalwil's last 4: LLWL Most recently they lost to Winterthur II 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 3.0 conceded.
Freienbach's last 5: DDLDW Most recently they drew with Baden 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for Thalwil and 1.4 for Freienbach. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 57%, both teams to score at 49%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 57% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Thalwil 1–2 Freienbach. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Thalwil38%fair 2.66 · @2.60
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.50
Freienbach40%fair 2.49 · @2.25
2.74Expected goals
1.34Thalwil xG
1.40Freienbach xG
49%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–06%
From our goals model: Thalwil 1.3 – 1.4 Freienbach expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Freienbach to win✗
40%
2.49
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Freienbach / FT Freienbach✗
22%
4.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
11.05
–
Form
Thalwil – last 4
LLWL
19 Aug
@ Winterthur II
0–2
L
16 Aug
vs FC ST. Gallen
0–3
L
8 Aug
vs Collina d'Oro
2–1
W
27 Jun
vs FC Zurich
4–6
L
1.5Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Freienbach – last 6
DDLDWL
14 Aug
vs Baden
2–2
D
9 Aug
@ Gossau
0–0
D
24 Jun
vs Rapperswil
1–3
L
13 May
@ Kosova
3–3
D
25 Mar
@ Höngg
2–0
W
4 Mar
vs Wettswil-Bonstetten
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Thalwil and Freienbach.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Thalwil vs Freienbach?
On our numbers Thalwil have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Freienbach 40%.
How many goals will there be in Thalwil vs Freienbach?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Thalwil vs Freienbach?
Our predicted score is Thalwil 1–2 Freienbach, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Thalwil vs Freienbach?
Thalwil vs Freienbach (1. Liga Classic Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
