Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.86
APEA vs Ermis preview and prediction
The match
APEA host Ermis in the 2. Division on Saturday 24 October, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT). APEA are 5th with 11 points from 7 games (in the top half), while Ermis sit 7th on 10 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
APEA's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Nea Salamis 0–4 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ermis's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat MEAP Nisou 2–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for APEA and 1.0 for Ermis. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 44%.
Betting angles
Win chances: APEA 42%, draw 23%, Ermis 35%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 58% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: APEA 1–1 Ermis. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
APEA42%fair 2.35 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.25
Ermis35%fair 2.90 · @3.00
2.25Expected goals
1.20APEA xG
1.04Ermis xG
44%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: APEA 1.2 – 1.0 Ermis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
APEA to win✓
42%
2.35
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT APEA / FT APEA✓
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.86
–
Form
APEA – last 6
LWDWDW
21 Oct
@ Nea Salamis
0–4
L
17 Oct
@ Ethnikos Achna
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Spartakos Kitiou
0–0
D
19 Sep
@ Digenis Morphou
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Doxa
3–3
D
21 Apr
@ Iraklis Yerolakkou
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ermis – last 6
WWLLWL
17 Oct
vs MEAP Nisou
2–0
W
10 Oct
@ Polemidion
1–0
W
2 Oct
vs Nea Salamis
0–3
L
20 Sep
vs PAEEK
1–2
L
11 Sep
vs Akritas
2–0
W
17 Apr
@ Ethnikos Assias
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between APEA and Ermis.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win APEA vs Ermis?
On our numbers APEA have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ermis 35%.
How many goals will there be in APEA vs Ermis?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for APEA vs Ermis?
Our predicted score is APEA 1–1 Ermis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is APEA vs Ermis?
APEA vs Ermis (2. Division) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.