Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.73 – our chance 61% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDoxa to win ✓71% · @1.27
Double chanceDoxa or draw ✓88% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61% · @1.73
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 10.44
Doxa vs Ayia Napa preview and prediction
The match
Doxa host Ayia Napa in the 2. Division on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 13:30 (WAT) at Makario Stadium. Doxa are 2nd with 17 points from 7 games (in the top four), while Ayia Napa sit 15th on 5 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Doxa's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat Halkanoras 4–3 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Ayia Napa's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Enosis 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Doxa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.5 for Doxa and 1.0 for Ayia Napa. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 50% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Doxa 71%, draw 18%, Ayia Napa 12%.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 1.73 – 61% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Doxa to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.27. Predicted score: Doxa 2–0 Ayia Napa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Doxa71%fair 1.42 · @1.27
Draw18%fair 5.62 · @4.75
Ayia Napa12%fair 8.56 · @9.50
3.52Expected goals
2.54Doxa xG
0.98Ayia Napa xG
50%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–19%
3–08%
3–18%
1–08%
1–17%
From our goals model: Doxa 2.5 – 1.0 Ayia Napa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Doxa to win✓
71%
1.42
1.27
Double chance
Doxa or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.03
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.73 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Doxa ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Doxa / FT Doxa✓
48%
2.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
10.44
–
Form
Doxa – last 6
WWDLLW
10 Oct
@ Halkanoras
4–3
W
19 Sep
vs Anagennisi Deryneia
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ APEA
3–3
D
19 Apr
@ Omonia 29is Maiou
1–5
L
18 Mar
@ Nea Salamis
1–2
L
13 Mar
vs ASIL Lysi
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Ayia Napa – last 6
LDLWLL
10 Oct
vs Enosis
1–2
L
18 Sep
@ Iraklis Yerolakkou
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs ASIL Lysi
1–3
L
19 Apr
vs PAEEK
6–3
W
4 Apr
@ Nea Salamis
0–3
L
18 Mar
@ Karmiotissa
0–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Doxa and Ayia Napa.
Our pick is Doxa to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Doxa vs Ayia Napa?
On our numbers Doxa have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Ayia Napa 12%.
How many goals will there be in Doxa vs Ayia Napa?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Doxa vs Ayia Napa?
Our predicted score is Doxa 2–0 Ayia Napa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Doxa vs Ayia Napa?
Doxa vs Ayia Napa (2. Division) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Makario Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
