Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Doxa to win @ 1.90 – our chance 60% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDoxa to win ✗60% · @1.90
Double chanceDoxa or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 6.91
APEA vs Doxa preview and prediction
The match
Doxa travel to face APEA in the 2. Division on Saturday 12 September (17:00 WAT). APEA are 5th with 11 points from 7 games (in the top half), while Doxa sit 2nd on 17 points (in the top four).
Form guide
APEA's last 3: WDL Most recently they beat Iraklis Yerolakkou 2–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Doxa's last 4: LLWL Most recently they lost to Omonia 29is Maiou 1–5 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
APEA arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.7 for APEA and 1.7 for Doxa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 46%.
Betting angles
Win chances: APEA 14%, draw 26%, Doxa 60%.
Safer route: Doxa or draw (86%) at 1.22.
Value angle: Doxa to win at 1.90 – 60% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Doxa or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: APEA 0–1 Doxa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
APEA14%fair 7.10 · @3.50
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.30
Doxa60%fair 1.66 · @1.90
2.49Expected goals
0.74APEA xG
1.75Doxa xG
46%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–213%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: APEA 0.7 – 1.7 Doxa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Doxa to win✗
60%
1.66
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Doxa or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Doxa ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Doxa / FT Doxa✗
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
6.91
–
Form
APEA – last 3
WDL
21 Apr
@ Iraklis Yerolakkou
2–0
W
18 Mar
@ Ahironas Onisilos
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Iraklis Yerolakkou
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Doxa – last 4
LLWL
19 Apr
@ Omonia 29is Maiou
1–5
L
18 Mar
@ Nea Salamis
1–2
L
13 Mar
vs ASIL Lysi
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Omonia 29is Maiou
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between APEA and Doxa.
Our pick is Doxa or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win APEA vs Doxa?
On our numbers APEA have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Doxa 60%.
How many goals will there be in APEA vs Doxa?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for APEA vs Doxa?
Our predicted score is APEA 0–1 Doxa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is APEA vs Doxa?
APEA vs Doxa (2. Division) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
