Durham W vs Newcastle United W prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNewcastle United W to win ✓66% · @1.20
Double chanceNewcastle United W or draw ✓87% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.93
Durham W vs Newcastle United W preview and prediction
The match
Durham W host Newcastle United W in the Women's Championship on Sunday 4 October, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Maiden Castle. Durham W are 12th with 0 points from 7 games (in the bottom three), while Newcastle United W sit 1st on 19 points (top of the table). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Durham W's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Manchester United W 1–5 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 3.2 conceded.
Newcastle United W's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Aston Villa W 1–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Newcastle United W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 1.2 for Durham W and 2.6 for Newcastle United W. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 72% and both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Durham W 13%, draw 20%, Newcastle United W 66%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.68, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Durham W 1–2 Newcastle United W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Durham W13%fair 7.49 · @10.00
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @5.80
Newcastle United W66%fair 1.50 · @1.20
3.75Expected goals
1.16Durham W xG
2.59Newcastle United W xG
60%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–38%
0–28%
1–17%
0–37%
0–16%
From our goals model: Durham W 1.2 – 2.6 Newcastle United W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newcastle United W to win✓
66%
1.50
1.20
Double chance
Newcastle United W or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.68
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Newcastle United W ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newcastle United W / FT Newcastle United W✓
46%
2.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.93
–
Form
Durham W – last 6
LLLLLW
30 Sep
vs Manchester United W
1–5
L
27 Sep
@ Sheffield United W
1–4
L
20 Sep
vs Nottingham Forest W
1–2
L
13 Sep
@ Leicester City FC W
2–4
L
6 Sep
vs Southampton W
1–3
L
26 Apr
vs Sheffield United W
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Newcastle United W – last 6
LWWWWL
30 Sep
@ Aston Villa W
1–3
L
27 Sep
vs Leicester City FC W
4–0
W
20 Sep
vs Sheffield United W
4–1
W
12 Sep
@ Bristol City W
1–0
W
6 Sep
vs Wolverhampton W
2–0
W
26 Apr
@ Bristol City W
1–2
L
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Durham W and Newcastle United W.
What is the prediction for Durham W vs Newcastle United W?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Durham W vs Newcastle United W?
On our numbers Durham W have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Newcastle United W 66%.
How many goals will there be in Durham W vs Newcastle United W?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Durham W vs Newcastle United W?
Our predicted score is Durham W 1–2 Newcastle United W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Durham W vs Newcastle United W?
Durham W vs Newcastle United W (Women's Championship) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Maiden Castle.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
