Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBristol City W to win ✗67% · @1.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✗86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗10% · fair 9.55
Burnley W vs Bristol City W preview and prediction
The match
The Women's Championship sees Burnley W take on Bristol City W on Saturday 26 September, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT) at Lancashire County Ground. Burnley W are 11th with 2 points from 7 games (in the bottom three), while Bristol City W sit 5th on 13 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Burnley W's last 3: LLD Most recently they lost to Wolverhampton W 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Bristol City W's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat Watford W 5–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Bristol City W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 0.9 for Burnley W and 2.1 for Bristol City W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 48% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Burnley W 18%, draw 14%, Bristol City W 67%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Bristol City W to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.60, above our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Burnley W 0–2 Bristol City W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Burnley W18%fair 5.42 · @4.00
Draw14%fair 6.98 · @4.20
Bristol City W67%fair 1.49 · @1.60
3.07Expected goals
0.95Burnley W xG
2.13Bristol City W xG
48%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–210%
1–210%
0–110%
1–19%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Burnley W 0.9 – 2.1 Bristol City W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bristol City W to win✗
67%
1.49
1.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
86%
1.17
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Bristol City W ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bristol City W / FT Bristol City W✗
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
10%
9.55
–
Form
Burnley W – last 3
LLD
18 Sep
@ Wolverhampton W
0–3
L
13 Sep
vs Sunderland W
1–2
L
4 Sep
@ Watford W
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Bristol City W – last 6
WLLWDL
20 Sep
@ Watford W
5–1
W
12 Sep
vs Newcastle United W
0–1
L
6 Sep
@ Sunderland W
1–4
L
26 Apr
vs Newcastle United W
2–1
W
5 Apr
@ Durham W
2–2
D
29 Mar
vs Birmingham City W
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Burnley W and Bristol City W.
What is the prediction for Burnley W vs Bristol City W?
Our pick is Bristol City W to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Burnley W vs Bristol City W?
On our numbers Burnley W have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Bristol City W 67%.
How many goals will there be in Burnley W vs Bristol City W?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Burnley W vs Bristol City W?
Our predicted score is Burnley W 0–2 Bristol City W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Burnley W vs Bristol City W?
Burnley W vs Bristol City W (Women's Championship) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Lancashire County Ground.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
