Team Altamura vs Potenza prediction & analysis

Potenza travel as clear favourites – 61% to win, against 17% for Team Altamura.

Team Altamura have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.3 per game. Potenza have 16 points from their last 6 (5W 1D 0L), averaging 2.8 scored and 1.2 conceded. Potenza come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 3.0 goals (1.0 for Team Altamura, 2.0 for Potenza). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 0–2 (10%), 0–1 (10%), 1–2 (10%).

In their last 1 meeting, Team Altamura have won 0, Potenza have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Potenza or draw at a 83% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is better than our fair price of 1.20, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Potenza to win at 1.91 is our value angle (61% on our numbers).