Serie C Girone C · Italy · Stadio Comunale Alfredo VivianiPotenza vs AZ Picerno prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Potenza 2.4 – 1.3 AZ Picerno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Potenza are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 19% for AZ Picerno.
Potenza have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.3 per game. AZ Picerno have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded. Potenza come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.6 goals (2.4 for Potenza, 1.3 for AZ Picerno). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (9%), 1–1 (8%), 3–1 (7%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 60% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.85 is better than our fair price of 1.65, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Potenza to win ✓ | 62% | 1.63 | 1.60 |
| Double chance | Potenza or draw ✓ | 81% | 1.23 | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 60% | 1.65 | 1.85 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 88% | 1.14 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.42 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 51% | 1.97 | – |
| Half-time result | Potenza ahead at half-time ✓ | 47% | 2.13 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Potenza / FT Potenza ✓ | 41% | 2.46 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 10.68 | – |
Form
Potenza – last 6
| 27 Sep | @ Barletta | 4–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Cavese | 4–2 | W |
| 15 Sep | @ Bari | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Sep | @ Salernitana | 2–4 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs SS Monopoli | 1–0 | W |
| 1 Sep | vs SS Monopoli | 1–1 | D |
AZ Picerno – last 6
| 26 Sep | vs Audace Cerignola | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Team Altamura | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Sep | vs Catania | 2–4 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Sorrento | 0–1 | L |
| 7 Sep | vs Inter U23 | 4–1 | W |
| 1 Sep | @ Bari | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Potenza and AZ Picerno.
Serie C Girone C table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Potenza | 13 | +17 | 32 |
| 2 |  Bari | 13 | +7 | 23 |
| 3 |  Catania | 13 | +13 | 22 |
| 4 |  Scafatese | 13 | +5 | 21 |
| 5 |  Audace Cerignola | 13 | +5 | 20 |
| 6 |  SS Monopoli | 13 | +4 | 20 |
| 7 |  Inter U23 | 13 | +2 | 20 |
| 8 |  Casertana | 13 | +2 | 20 |
| 9 |  Sorrento | 13 | +1 | 20 |
| 10 |  AZ Picerno | 13 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Cavese | 13 | +1 | 16 |
| 12 |  Team Altamura | 13 | -6 | 16 |
| 13 |  Giugliano | 13 | -12 | 16 |
| 14 |  Salernitana | 13 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 |  Barletta | 13 | -2 | 15 |
| 16 |  Foggia | 13 | -3 | 15 |
| 17 |  Casarano | 13 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 |  Savoia | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 19 |  Cosenza | 13 | -13 | 10 |
| 20 |  Crotone | 13 | -9 | 1 |
More Serie C Girone C predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Potenza vs AZ Picerno?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Potenza vs AZ Picerno?
On our numbers Potenza have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and AZ Picerno 19%.
How many goals will there be in Potenza vs AZ Picerno?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is Potenza vs AZ Picerno?
Potenza vs AZ Picerno (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.