Serie C Girone C · Italy · Stadio Alberto PintoCasertana vs Catania prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Casertana 1.5 – 1.6 Catania expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Casertana and Catania on our numbers – 34% for the home side, 40% for the visitors and 26% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Casertana have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (3W 3D 0L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.3 per game. Catania have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded. Casertana come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.1 goals (1.5 for Casertana, 1.6 for Catania). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Casertana have won 0, Catania have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 0.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 58% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.75 is close to our fair price of 1.72.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Catania to win ✓ | 40% | 2.51 | 2.38 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 58% | 1.72 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 81% | 1.23 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.68 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 63% | 1.59 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 39% | 2.56 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Catania / FT Catania ✓ | 24% | 4.11 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✓ | 9% | 11.46 | – |
Form
Casertana – last 6
| 19 Sep | @ Audace Cerignola | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Sep | vs Team Altamura | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Inter U23 | 3–2 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs Scafatese | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Aug | @ Savoia | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | vs Barletta | 3–3 | D |
Catania – last 6
| 19 Sep | vs Barletta | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Sep | @ AZ Picerno | 4–2 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Scafatese | 1–2 | L |
| 7 Sep | vs Cosenza | 4–0 | W |
| 2 Sep | vs Savoia | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ SS Monopoli | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
| 9 Mar 2026 | Catania v Casertana | 0–0 |
Serie C Girone C table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Potenza | 13 | +17 | 32 |
| 2 |  Bari | 13 | +7 | 23 |
| 3 |  Catania | 13 | +13 | 22 |
| 4 |  Scafatese | 13 | +5 | 21 |
| 5 |  Audace Cerignola | 13 | +5 | 20 |
| 6 |  SS Monopoli | 13 | +4 | 20 |
| 7 |  Inter U23 | 13 | +2 | 20 |
| 8 |  Casertana | 13 | +2 | 20 |
| 9 |  Sorrento | 13 | +1 | 20 |
| 10 |  AZ Picerno | 13 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Cavese | 13 | +1 | 16 |
| 12 |  Team Altamura | 13 | -6 | 16 |
| 13 |  Giugliano | 13 | -12 | 16 |
| 14 |  Salernitana | 13 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 |  Barletta | 13 | -2 | 15 |
| 16 |  Foggia | 13 | -3 | 15 |
| 17 |  Casarano | 13 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 |  Savoia | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 19 |  Cosenza | 13 | -13 | 10 |
| 20 |  Crotone | 13 | -9 | 1 |
More Serie C Girone C predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Casertana vs Catania?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Casertana vs Catania?
On our numbers Casertana have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Catania 40%.
How many goals will there be in Casertana vs Catania?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Casertana vs Catania?
Casertana vs Catania (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Alberto Pinto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.