Value bet: Casarano to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPotenza to win ✓45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.41
Potenza vs Casarano preview and prediction
The match
The Serie C Girone C sees Potenza take on Casarano on Friday 21 August, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani. Potenza are 1st with 32 points from 13 games (top of the table), while Casarano sit 17th on 15 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Potenza's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Ascoli 1–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Casarano's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Bari 0–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Casarano arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 April 2026, finished Casarano 2–1 Potenza.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Potenza and 1.1 for Casarano. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Potenza 45%, draw 22%, Casarano 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Casarano to win at 3.30 – 33% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Potenza 1–1 Casarano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Potenza45%fair 2.22 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.20
Casarano33%fair 3.04 · @3.30
2.42Expected goals
1.34Potenza xG
1.08Casarano xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Potenza 1.3 – 1.1 Casarano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Potenza vs Casarano?
On our numbers Potenza have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Casarano 33%.
How many goals will there be in Potenza vs Casarano?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Potenza vs Casarano?
Our predicted score is Potenza 1–1 Casarano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Potenza vs Casarano?
Potenza vs Casarano (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
