Serie C Girone B · Italy · Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro MarianiPineto vs Gubbio prediction & analysis
Pineto to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Pineto 1.7 – 0.7 Gubbio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Pineto are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 16% for Gubbio.
Pineto have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.3 per game. Gubbio have 1 points from their last 6 (0W 1D 5L), averaging 0.3 scored and 2.0 conceded. Pineto come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.7 for Pineto, 0.7 for Gubbio). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (11%).
In their last 2 meetings, Pineto have won 0, Gubbio have won 2 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
Our pick is Pineto to win at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.75 is better than our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Pineto to win ✓ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.75 ▲ |
| Double chance | Pineto or draw ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 54% | 1.87 | 1.91 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 70% | 1.42 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.80 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | – |
| Half-time result | Pineto ahead at half-time ✓ | 43% | 2.31 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Pineto / FT Pineto ✓ | 39% | 2.59 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✓ | 15% | 6.67 | – |
Form
Pineto – last 6
| 20 Oct | vs Reggiana | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | @ Pianese | 0–0 | D |
| 4 Oct | @ Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Grosseto | 0–4 | L |
| 20 Sep | @ Campobasso FC | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Sep | vs Forli | 1–1 | D |
Gubbio – last 6
| 18 Oct | vs Atalanta II | 0–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Spezia | 0–2 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs Perugia | 1–3 | L |
| 27 Sep | @ Ravenna | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Ostia Mare | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Sep | @ Pescara | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 14 Aug 2026 | Pineto v Gubbio | 1–2 |
| 26 Apr 2026 | Gubbio v Pineto | 2–0 |
Serie C Girone B table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Spezia | 13 | +19 | 35 |
| 2 |  Ravenna | 13 | +17 | 29 |
| 3 |  Grosseto | 13 | +8 | 23 |
| 4 |  Pescara | 13 | +4 | 22 |
| 5 |  Torres | 13 | +3 | 22 |
| 6 |  Reggiana | 13 | +4 | 20 |
| 7 |  Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 13 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Livorno | 13 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 |  Campobasso FC | 13 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 |  Atalanta II | 13 | -3 | 18 |
| 11 |  Pineto | 13 | -2 | 17 |
| 12 |  Perugia | 13 | -3 | 17 |
| 13 |  Vado | 13 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 |  Forli | 13 | -1 | 15 |
| 15 |  Latina | 13 | -2 | 15 |
| 16 |  Pianese | 13 | -3 | 13 |
| 17 |  Sambenedettese | 13 | -5 | 10 |
| 18 |  Ostia Mare | 13 | -9 | 9 |
| 19 |  Gubbio | 13 | -12 | 8 |
| 20 |  Vis Pesaro | 13 | -16 | 5 |
More Serie C Girone B predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Pineto vs Gubbio?
Our pick is Pineto to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Pineto vs Gubbio?
On our numbers Pineto have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Gubbio 16%.
How many goals will there be in Pineto vs Gubbio?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Pineto vs Gubbio?
Pineto vs Gubbio (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.