Serie C Girone B · Italy · Stadio Pasquale GiannattasioOstia Mare vs Vado prediction & analysis
Ostia Mare or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.29 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Ostia Mare to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Ostia Mare 1.5 – 0.6 Vado expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Ostia Mare are clear favourites at home with a 60% chance of winning, against 17% for Vado.
Ostia Mare have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 0.8 per game. Vado have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.1 goals (1.5 for Ostia Mare, 0.6 for Vado). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (19%), 2–0 (14%), 0–0 (13%).
Our pick is Ostia Mare or draw at a 83% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.29 is better than our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Ostia Mare to win at 1.95 is our value angle (60% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Ostia Mare to win ✗ | 60% | 1.65 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Ostia Mare or draw ✗ | 83% | 1.21 | 1.29 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 55% | 1.82 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.65 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 66% | 1.51 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 48% | 2.10 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Ostia Mare / FT Ostia Mare ✗ | 35% | 2.85 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 19% | 5.33 | – |
Form
Ostia Mare – last 6
| 18 Oct | @ Pescara | 0–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Pianese | 0–0 | D |
| 4 Oct | @ Latina | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | vs Forli | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sep | @ Gubbio | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | vs Ravenna | 0–1 | L |
Vado – last 6
| 17 Oct | vs Sambenedettese | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Oct | @ Perugia | 2–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Forli | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Torres | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | vs Pescara | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Sep | @ Livorno | 2–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ostia Mare and Vado.
Serie C Girone B table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Spezia | 13 | +19 | 35 |
| 2 |  Ravenna | 13 | +17 | 29 |
| 3 |  Grosseto | 13 | +8 | 23 |
| 4 |  Pescara | 13 | +4 | 22 |
| 5 |  Torres | 13 | +3 | 22 |
| 6 |  Reggiana | 13 | +4 | 20 |
| 7 |  Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 13 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Livorno | 13 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 |  Campobasso FC | 13 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 |  Atalanta II | 13 | -3 | 18 |
| 11 |  Pineto | 13 | -2 | 17 |
| 12 |  Perugia | 13 | -3 | 17 |
| 13 |  Vado | 13 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 |  Forli | 13 | -1 | 15 |
| 15 |  Latina | 13 | -2 | 15 |
| 16 |  Pianese | 13 | -3 | 13 |
| 17 |  Sambenedettese | 13 | -5 | 10 |
| 18 |  Ostia Mare | 13 | -9 | 9 |
| 19 |  Gubbio | 13 | -12 | 8 |
| 20 |  Vis Pesaro | 13 | -16 | 5 |
More Serie C Girone B predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Ostia Mare vs Vado?
Our pick is Ostia Mare or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Ostia Mare vs Vado?
On our numbers Ostia Mare have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Vado 17%.
How many goals will there be in Ostia Mare vs Vado?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Ostia Mare vs Vado?
Ostia Mare vs Vado (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Pasquale Giannattasio.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.