Value bet: Pianese to win @ 3.40 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultForli to win ✗41% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.63
Forli vs Pianese preview and prediction
The match
Forli host Pianese in the Serie C Girone B on Sunday 25 October, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT) at Stadio Tullo Morgagni. Forli are 14th with 15 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Pianese sit 16th on 13 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Forli's last 5: LDLDD Most recently they lost to Guidonia Montecelio 1937 2–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Pianese's last 5: DDWLD Most recently they drew with Pineto 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 March 2026, finished Forli 0–0 Pianese.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Forli and 1.1 for Pianese. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Forli 41%, draw 25%, Pianese 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Pianese to win at 3.40 – 34% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.75, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Forli 1–1 Pianese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Forli41%fair 2.43 · @2.00
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @2.90
Pianese34%fair 2.98 · @3.40
2.40Expected goals
1.28Forli xG
1.12Pianese xG
57%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Forli 1.3 – 1.1 Pianese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Forli vs Pianese?
On our numbers Forli have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Pianese 34%.
How many goals will there be in Forli vs Pianese?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Forli vs Pianese?
Our predicted score is Forli 1–1 Pianese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Forli vs Pianese?
Forli vs Pianese (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Tullo Morgagni.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.