Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
2
Value bet: Atalanta II to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtalanta II to win ✓44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.10
Gubbio vs Atalanta II preview and prediction
The match
Gubbio host Atalanta II in the Serie C Girone B on Sunday 18 October, with kick-off at 13:30 (WAT) at Stadio Pietro Barbetti. Gubbio are 19th with 8 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Atalanta II sit 10th on 18 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Gubbio's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Spezia 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Atalanta II's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Latina 0–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.3 for Gubbio and 1.6 for Atalanta II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gubbio 33%, draw 24%, Atalanta II 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Atalanta II to win at 2.50 – 44% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.71, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Gubbio 1–1 Atalanta II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gubbio33%fair 3.03 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @2.80
Atalanta II44%fair 2.30 · @2.50
2.88Expected goals
1.32Gubbio xG
1.56Atalanta II xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Gubbio 1.3 – 1.6 Atalanta II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atalanta II to win✓
44%
2.30
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.71
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atalanta II / FT Atalanta II✗
26%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.10
–
Form
Gubbio – last 6
LLLLDW
10 Oct
@ Spezia
0–2
L
3 Oct
vs Perugia
1–3
L
27 Sep
@ Ravenna
0–2
L
20 Sep
vs Ostia Mare
0–2
L
16 Sep
@ Pescara
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Latina
3–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Atalanta II – last 6
LLLWWL
14 Oct
@ Latina
0–2
L
11 Oct
@ Torres
1–2
L
20 Sep
vs Ravenna
0–2
L
16 Sep
@ Sambenedettese
3–2
W
12 Sep
vs Pescara
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Livorno
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gubbio and Atalanta II.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Gubbio vs Atalanta II?
On our numbers Gubbio have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atalanta II 44%.
How many goals will there be in Gubbio vs Atalanta II?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gubbio vs Atalanta II?
Our predicted score is Gubbio 1–1 Atalanta II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Gubbio vs Atalanta II?
Gubbio vs Atalanta II (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Pietro Barbetti.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
