Serie C Girone B · Italy · Stadio Pietro BarbettiGubbio vs Ostia Mare prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Gubbio 1.7 – 1.4 Ostia Mare expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Gubbio hold the edge on home soil with a 44% chance of winning, against 33% for Ostia Mare.
Gubbio have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.5 per game. Ostia Mare have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded. Gubbio come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.1 goals (1.7 for Gubbio, 1.4 for Ostia Mare). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 60% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.80 is better than our fair price of 1.67, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Gubbio to win ✗ | 44% | 2.29 | 2.30 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.80 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 82% | 1.23 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 60% | 1.67 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 62% | 1.60 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 39% | 2.58 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Gubbio / FT Gubbio ✗ | 26% | 3.82 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.11 | – |
Form
Gubbio – last 6
| 16 Sep | @ Pescara | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs Latina | 3–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Campobasso FC | 4–2 | W |
| 2 Sep | vs Vis Pesaro | 5–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | vs Reggiana | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Aug | @ Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 0–3 | L |
Ostia Mare – last 6
| 16 Sep | vs Ravenna | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ Torres | 2–3 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Vis Pesaro | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs Grosseto | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Aug | @ Perugia | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Aug | @ Latina | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gubbio and Ostia Mare.
Serie C Girone B table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Spezia | 13 | +19 | 35 |
| 2 |  Ravenna | 13 | +17 | 29 |
| 3 |  Grosseto | 13 | +8 | 23 |
| 4 |  Pescara | 13 | +4 | 22 |
| 5 |  Torres | 13 | +3 | 22 |
| 6 |  Reggiana | 13 | +4 | 20 |
| 7 |  Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 13 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Livorno | 13 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 |  Campobasso FC | 13 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 |  Atalanta II | 13 | -3 | 18 |
| 11 |  Pineto | 13 | -2 | 17 |
| 12 |  Perugia | 13 | -3 | 17 |
| 13 |  Vado | 13 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 |  Forli | 13 | -1 | 15 |
| 15 |  Latina | 13 | -2 | 15 |
| 16 |  Pianese | 13 | -3 | 13 |
| 17 |  Sambenedettese | 13 | -5 | 10 |
| 18 |  Ostia Mare | 13 | -9 | 9 |
| 19 |  Gubbio | 13 | -12 | 8 |
| 20 |  Vis Pesaro | 13 | -16 | 5 |
More Serie C Girone B predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Gubbio vs Ostia Mare?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Gubbio vs Ostia Mare?
On our numbers Gubbio have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ostia Mare 33%.
How many goals will there be in Gubbio vs Ostia Mare?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is Gubbio vs Ostia Mare?
Gubbio vs Ostia Mare (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Pietro Barbetti.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.