Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.00 – our chance 56% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +68%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✓56% · @3.00
Double chancePianese or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13% · fair 7.48
Pianese vs Vado preview and prediction
The match
Vado travel to Stadio Comunale in the Serie C Girone B on Friday 28 August (20:00 WAT) to face Pianese. Pianese are 16th with 13 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Vado sit 13th on 16 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Pianese's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to Campobasso FC 0–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Vado's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Atalanta II 2–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Vado arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.2 for Pianese and 1.0 for Vado. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pianese 27%, draw 56%, Vado 17%.
Safer route: Pianese or draw (83%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Draw at 3.00 – 56% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Pianese or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Pianese 1–0 Vado. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pianese27%fair 3.77 · @2.15
Draw56%fair 1.78 · @3.00
Vado17%fair 5.75 · @3.25
2.14Expected goals
1.16Pianese xG
0.98Vado xG
50%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Pianese 1.2 – 1.0 Vado expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✓
56%
1.78
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Pianese or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pianese / FT Pianese✗
23%
4.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
13%
7.48
–
Form
Pianese – last 6
LLDWWL
23 Aug
@ Campobasso FC
0–2
L
15 Aug
@ Athletic Carpi
2–3
L
13 May
@ Lecco
1–1
D
6 May
@ Juventus U23
2–0
W
26 Apr
@ Ternana
3–1
W
4 Apr
vs Campobasso FC
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Vado – last 6
WDLWLW
21 Aug
vs Atalanta II
2–0
W
14 Aug
vs Inter U23
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs Scafatese
0–6
L
30 May
vs Barletta
2–0
W
24 May
@ Barletta
1–2
L
17 May
vs Folgore Caratese
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pianese and Vado.
Our pick is Pianese or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Pianese vs Vado?
On our numbers Pianese have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 56% and Vado 17%.
How many goals will there be in Pianese vs Vado?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pianese vs Vado?
Our predicted score is Pianese 1–0 Vado, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Pianese vs Vado?
Pianese vs Vado (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
