Serie C Girone A · Italy · Stadio Mario RigamontiUnion Brescia vs Cittadella prediction & analysis
Union Brescia or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Value bet: Union Brescia to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Union Brescia 1.6 – 0.7 Cittadella expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Union Brescia hold the edge on home soil with a 57% chance of winning, against 16% for Cittadella, and a draw (27%) is a real possibility.
Union Brescia have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.2 per game. Cittadella have 15 points from their last 6 (5W 0D 1L), averaging 1.7 scored and 0.3 conceded. Cittadella come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.6 for Union Brescia, 0.7 for Cittadella). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 49%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (16%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Union Brescia have won 1, Cittadella have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Union Brescia or draw at a 84% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is better than our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Union Brescia to win at 1.95 is our value angle (57% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Union Brescia to win ✓ | 57% | 1.74 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Union Brescia or draw ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.25 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.96 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.49 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 60% | 1.68 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.23 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Union Brescia / FT Union Brescia ✗ | 36% | 2.81 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 16% | 6.29 | – |
Form
Union Brescia – last 6
| 19 Oct | @ Giana Erminio | 1–2 | L |
| 9 Oct | vs PRO Vercelli | 2–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | @ Lecco | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Sep | vs Dolomiti Bellunesi | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sep | @ Alcione | 4–0 | W |
| 17 Sep | vs Treviso | 2–2 | D |
Cittadella – last 6
| 19 Oct | vs Arzignano Valchiampo | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Novara | 2–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Albinoleffe | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Lecco | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Ospitaletto | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Sep | vs Juventus U23 | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
| 3 Apr 2026 | Union Brescia v Cittadella | 2–1 |
Serie C Girone A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cittadella | 13 | +13 | 31 |
| 2 |  Union Brescia | 13 | +15 | 28 |
| 3 |  Trento | 13 | +12 | 27 |
| 4 |  Ospitaletto | 13 | +8 | 22 |
| 5 |  Treviso | 13 | +5 | 22 |
| 6 |  Arzignano Valchiampo | 13 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 |  Lecco | 13 | +11 | 20 |
| 8 |  Alcione | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 9 |  Albinoleffe | 13 | +1 | 17 |
| 10 |  Pergolettese | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 |  Lumezzane | 13 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 |  PRO Vercelli | 13 | -7 | 16 |
| 13 |  Desenzano Calvina | 13 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 |  Novara | 13 | -7 | 13 |
| 15 |  Athletic Carpi | 13 | -10 | 13 |
| 16 |  Giana Erminio | 13 | -4 | 12 |
| 17 |  Renate | 13 | -1 | 11 |
| 18 |  Juventus U23 | 13 | -11 | 11 |
| 19 |  Dolomiti Bellunesi | 13 | -12 | 10 |
| 20 |  Folgore Caratese | 13 | -10 | 8 |
More Serie C Girone A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Union Brescia vs Cittadella?
Our pick is Union Brescia or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Union Brescia vs Cittadella?
On our numbers Union Brescia have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Cittadella 16%.
How many goals will there be in Union Brescia vs Cittadella?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is Union Brescia vs Cittadella?
Union Brescia vs Cittadella (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Mario Rigamonti.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.