Serie C Girone A · ItalyTreviso vs Giana Erminio prediction & analysis
Treviso or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Value bet: Treviso to win @ 1.75 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Treviso 1.5 – 0.6 Giana Erminio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Treviso are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 17% for Giana Erminio.
Treviso have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (3W 3D 0L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.7 per game. Giana Erminio have 3 points from their last 6 (0W 3D 3L), averaging 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded. Treviso come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.1 goals (1.5 for Treviso, 0.6 for Giana Erminio). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (18%), 2–0 (14%), 0–0 (12%).
Our pick is Treviso or draw at a 83% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.21. For a bigger price, Treviso to win at 1.75 is our value angle (63% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Treviso to win ✗ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.75 ▲ |
| Double chance | Treviso or draw ✓ | 83% | 1.21 | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.94 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 63% | 1.59 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 64% | 1.57 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.16 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Treviso / FT Treviso ✗ | 37% | 2.72 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 18% | 5.52 | – |
Form
Treviso – last 6
| 27 Sep | @ Renate | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Sep | vs Desenzano Calvina | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Sep | @ Union Brescia | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Sep | vs PRO Vercelli | 2–1 | W |
| 7 Sep | @ Alcione | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | vs Lecco | 1–0 | W |
Giana Erminio – last 6
| 26 Sep | vs PRO Vercelli | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sep | @ Folgore Caratese | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Sep | vs Trento | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Sep | @ Lecco | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Dolomiti Bellunesi | 1–2 | L |
| 2 Sep | @ Union Brescia | 2–5 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Treviso and Giana Erminio.
Serie C Girone A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cittadella | 13 | +13 | 31 |
| 2 |  Union Brescia | 13 | +15 | 28 |
| 3 |  Trento | 13 | +12 | 27 |
| 4 |  Ospitaletto | 13 | +8 | 22 |
| 5 |  Treviso | 13 | +5 | 22 |
| 6 |  Arzignano Valchiampo | 13 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 |  Lecco | 13 | +11 | 20 |
| 8 |  Alcione | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 9 |  Albinoleffe | 13 | +1 | 17 |
| 10 |  Pergolettese | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 |  Lumezzane | 13 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 |  PRO Vercelli | 13 | -7 | 16 |
| 13 |  Desenzano Calvina | 13 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 |  Novara | 13 | -7 | 13 |
| 15 |  Athletic Carpi | 13 | -10 | 13 |
| 16 |  Giana Erminio | 13 | -4 | 12 |
| 17 |  Renate | 13 | -1 | 11 |
| 18 |  Juventus U23 | 13 | -11 | 11 |
| 19 |  Dolomiti Bellunesi | 13 | -12 | 10 |
| 20 |  Folgore Caratese | 13 | -10 | 8 |
More Serie C Girone A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Treviso vs Giana Erminio?
Our pick is Treviso or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Treviso vs Giana Erminio?
On our numbers Treviso have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Giana Erminio 17%.
How many goals will there be in Treviso vs Giana Erminio?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is Treviso vs Giana Erminio?
Treviso vs Giana Erminio (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.