Treviso vs Desenzano Calvina preview and prediction
The match
Treviso host Desenzano Calvina in the Serie C Girone A on Monday 21 September, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT) at Stadio Omobono Tenni. Treviso are 5th with 22 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Desenzano Calvina sit 13th on 13 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Treviso's last 5: DWDWL Most recently they drew with Union Brescia 2–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Desenzano Calvina's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Lecco 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.4 for Treviso and 0.9 for Desenzano Calvina. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 53%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.89, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Treviso 1–1 Desenzano Calvina. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Treviso48%fair 2.07 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @2.90
Desenzano Calvina28%fair 3.55 · @3.50
2.30Expected goals
1.36Treviso xG
0.94Desenzano Calvina xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
0–19%
2–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Treviso 1.4 – 0.9 Desenzano Calvina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Treviso to win✗
48%
2.07
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Treviso / FT Treviso✗
27%
3.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.35
–
Form
Treviso – last 6
DWDWLL
17 Sep
@ Union Brescia
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs PRO Vercelli
2–1
W
7 Sep
@ Alcione
1–1
D
31 Aug
vs Lecco
1–0
W
23 Aug
@ Trento
1–2
L
16 Aug
@ Dolomiti Bellunesi
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Desenzano Calvina – last 6
LWLWDD
17 Sep
vs Lecco
1–3
L
13 Sep
@ Arzignano Valchiampo
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Union Brescia
0–1
L
3 Sep
@ Trento
1–0
W
31 Aug
vs Trento
0–0
D
23 Aug
@ PRO Vercelli
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Treviso and Desenzano Calvina.
What is the prediction for Treviso vs Desenzano Calvina?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Treviso vs Desenzano Calvina?
On our numbers Treviso have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Desenzano Calvina 28%.
How many goals will there be in Treviso vs Desenzano Calvina?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Treviso vs Desenzano Calvina?
Our predicted score is Treviso 1–1 Desenzano Calvina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Treviso vs Desenzano Calvina?
Treviso vs Desenzano Calvina (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Monday 21 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Omobono Tenni.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
