Arsenal W vs Birmingham City W preview and prediction
The match
Birmingham City W travel to Meadow Park in the FA WSL on Saturday 17 October (12:45 WAT) to face Arsenal W. Arsenal W are 6th with 13 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Birmingham City W sit 13th on 6 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Arsenal W's last 5: LDLWD Most recently they lost to Manchester City W 2–4 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Birmingham City W's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Everton W 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Arsenal W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.3 for Arsenal W and 0.6 for Birmingham City W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 51% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arsenal W 78%, draw 13%, Birmingham City W 9%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 2.00. Predicted score: Arsenal W 2–1 Birmingham City W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arsenal W78%fair 1.28 · @1.07
Draw13%fair 7.45 · @10.00
Birmingham City W9%fair 11.55 · @19.00
2.90Expected goals
2.32Arsenal W xG
0.58Birmingham City W xG
51%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–015%
1–013%
3–012%
2–19%
1–17%
4–07%
From our goals model: Arsenal W 2.3 – 0.6 Birmingham City W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arsenal W to win✗
78%
1.28
1.07
Double chance
Arsenal W or draw✓
91%
1.09
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Arsenal W ahead at half-time✗
55%
1.81
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arsenal W / FT Arsenal W✗
52%
1.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
15%
6.73
–
Form
Arsenal W – last 6
LDLWDD
4 Oct
@ Manchester City W
2–4
L
30 Sep
@ Paris FC W
2–2
D
27 Sep
@ Chelsea W
0–1
L
22 Sep
vs Køge W
1–0
W
19 Sep
vs Manchester United W
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Crystal Palace W
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Birmingham City W – last 6
LLDLLD
4 Oct
@ Everton W
1–2
L
30 Sep
vs Liverpool W
3–4
L
27 Sep
vs Crystal Palace W
3–3
D
23 Sep
@ Everton W
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ Chelsea W
0–2
L
13 Sep
vs Brighton W
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arsenal W and Birmingham City W.
What is the prediction for Arsenal W vs Birmingham City W?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Arsenal W vs Birmingham City W?
On our numbers Arsenal W have a 78% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Birmingham City W 9%.
How many goals will there be in Arsenal W vs Birmingham City W?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal W vs Birmingham City W?
Our predicted score is Arsenal W 2–1 Birmingham City W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Arsenal W vs Birmingham City W?
Arsenal W vs Birmingham City W (FA WSL) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 12:45 (West Africa Time) at Meadow Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
