Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Brighton W to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBrighton W to win ✗60% · @1.85
Double chanceBrighton W or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Brighton W vs Aston Villa W preview and prediction
The match
Aston Villa W travel to Amex Stadium in the FA WSL on Sunday 20 September (14:00 WAT) to face Brighton W. Brighton W are 7th with 11 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Aston Villa W sit 9th on 10 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Brighton W's last 5: DLLWD Most recently they drew with Birmingham City W 2–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Aston Villa W's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Manchester City W 1–4 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for Brighton W and 1.0 for Aston Villa W. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Brighton W 60%, draw 21%, Aston Villa W 20%.
Safer route: Brighton W or draw (80%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Brighton W to win at 1.85 – 60% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Brighton W or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Brighton W 1–1 Aston Villa W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Brighton W60%fair 1.68 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.40
Aston Villa W20%fair 5.09 · @3.80
3.00Expected goals
1.97Brighton W xG
1.03Aston Villa W xG
63%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–010%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Brighton W 2.0 – 1.0 Aston Villa W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brighton W to win✗
60%
1.68
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Brighton W or draw✓
80%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Brighton W ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brighton W / FT Brighton W✗
38%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.05
–
Form
Brighton W – last 6
DLLWDD
13 Sep
@ Birmingham City W
2–2
D
6 Sep
vs Arsenal W
0–1
L
31 May
vs Manchester City W
0–4
L
10 May
@ Liverpool W
3–2
W
6 May
vs Arsenal W
1–1
D
2 May
@ Manchester United W
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Aston Villa W – last 6
LDLLLW
13 Sep
vs Manchester City W
1–4
L
5 Sep
@ Chelsea W
1–1
D
9 May
vs Arsenal W
0–3
L
4 May
vs West Ham W
0–2
L
29 Mar
@ Chelsea W
3–4
L
22 Mar
@ Leicester City WFC
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brighton W and Aston Villa W.
What is the prediction for Brighton W vs Aston Villa W?
Our pick is Brighton W or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Brighton W vs Aston Villa W?
On our numbers Brighton W have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Aston Villa W 20%.
How many goals will there be in Brighton W vs Aston Villa W?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brighton W vs Aston Villa W?
Our predicted score is Brighton W 1–1 Aston Villa W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Brighton W vs Aston Villa W?
Brighton W vs Aston Villa W (FA WSL) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Amex Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
