Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRiver Plate to win ✗74% · @1.29
Double chanceRiver Plate or draw ✓91% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.40
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.64
River Plate vs Santa Fe preview and prediction
The match
River Plate host Santa Fe in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana on Thursday 27 August, with kick-off at 01:30 (WAT) at Estadio Monumental.
Form guide
River Plate's last 5: DDWLL Most recently they drew with Velez Sarsfield 2–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Santa Fe's last 5: DDWWD Most recently they drew with America de Cali 0–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.3 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Santa Fe arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 August 2026, finished Santa Fe 0–0 River Plate.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.7 for River Plate and 0.4 for Santa Fe. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: River Plate 74%, draw 17%, Santa Fe 9%.
Both teams to score: no (56%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: River Plate 1–0 Santa Fe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
River Plate74%fair 1.35 · @1.29
Draw17%fair 5.98 · @4.80
Santa Fe9%fair 10.91 · @12.00
2.08Expected goals
1.73River Plate xG
0.35Santa Fe xG
44%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–022%
2–019%
0–012%
3–011%
1–18%
2–17%
From our goals model: River Plate 1.7 – 0.4 Santa Fe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for River Plate vs Santa Fe?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win River Plate vs Santa Fe?
On our numbers River Plate have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Santa Fe 9%.
How many goals will there be in River Plate vs Santa Fe?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for River Plate vs Santa Fe?
Our predicted score is River Plate 1–0 Santa Fe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is River Plate vs Santa Fe?
River Plate vs Santa Fe (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Thursday 27 August 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
