South Melbourne vs Fremantle City prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSouth Melbourne to win ✗65% · @1.29
Double chanceSouth Melbourne or draw ✓86% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.06
South Melbourne vs Fremantle City preview and prediction
The match
Fremantle City travel to Lakeside Stadium in the Australia Cup on Sunday 9 August (10:40 WAT) to face South Melbourne.
Form guide
South Melbourne's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat St. Albans Saints 2–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Fremantle City's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Perth 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for South Melbourne and 0.9 for Fremantle City. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: South Melbourne 65%, draw 21%, Fremantle City 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: South Melbourne 2–1 Fremantle City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
South Melbourne65%fair 1.55 · @1.29
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @5.00
Fremantle City14%fair 7.02 · @8.00
3.00Expected goals
2.11South Melbourne xG
0.89Fremantle City xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: South Melbourne 2.1 – 0.9 Fremantle City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
South Melbourne to win✗
65%
1.55
1.29
Double chance
South Melbourne or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
South Melbourne ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT South Melbourne / FT South Melbourne✗
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.06
–
Form
South Melbourne – last 6
WWWDWW
2 Aug
vs St. Albans Saints
2–0
W
30 Jul
vs Adelaide United
2–1
W
24 Jul
@ Oakleigh Cannons
2–1
W
18 Jul
vs Preston Lions
0–0
D
10 Jul
@ Dandenong City
2–0
W
5 Jul
vs Dandenong Thunder
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Fremantle City – last 6
DWWWDW
1 Aug
vs Perth
2–2
D
22 Jul
@ Maitland
2–1
W
18 Jul
@ Perth RedStar
3–0
W
11 Jul
@ Sorrento
2–0
W
4 Jul
vs Bayswater City
1–1
D
27 Jun
vs Western Knights
3–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between South Melbourne and Fremantle City.
What is the prediction for South Melbourne vs Fremantle City?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win South Melbourne vs Fremantle City?
On our numbers South Melbourne have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Fremantle City 14%.
How many goals will there be in South Melbourne vs Fremantle City?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for South Melbourne vs Fremantle City?
Our predicted score is South Melbourne 2–1 Fremantle City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is South Melbourne vs Fremantle City?
South Melbourne vs Fremantle City (Australia Cup) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 10:40 (West Africa Time) at Lakeside Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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